Safa Baku vs Neftchi Baku — Premyer Liqa
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Safa Baku and Neftchi Baku meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Safa Baku have recorded 1 wins from 9 matches this season (11% win rate), averaging 0.56 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Neftchi Baku have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 1.93 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.11 for Safa Baku and 1.67 for Neftchi Baku. The models give Safa Baku a 22% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Neftchi Baku win at 54%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Safa BakuNeftchi BakuHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Safa Baku | Home | Away | Neftchi Baku | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 44% | 25% | 60% | 73% | 71% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 11% | 0% | 20% | 53% | 43% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 47% | 29% | 63% |
| Failed To Score | 56% | 75% | 40% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Safa Baku | Home | Away | Neftchi Baku | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 100% | 80% | 67% | 71% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 50% | 60% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 25% | 40% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 29% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Safa Baku | Neftchi Baku | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 56% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 33% |
| BTTS | 33% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Safa Baku | Neftchi Baku | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 60% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 7% |
| Scored 1st Half | 11% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 11% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 11% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 78% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 78% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 11% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Safa Baku (H)
Kapaz1–2
Turan0–1
Sabah FA0–3
Imisli FK0–1
Cəbrayıl1–0
Şimal0–0Neftchi Baku (A)
Qarabag3–3
Qabala3–0Imisli FK3–2
Zira0–1
Sumqayıt3–1
Dinamo Minsk1–0Head to Head · 1 matches
Safa BakuTeam Insights
Safa Baku- ●Safa Baku have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost their last 7 matches.
- ●Safa Baku failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Safa Baku have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Safa Baku failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
Neftchi Baku- ●Neftchi Baku have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●78% of Neftchi Baku's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Neftchi Baku have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Safa BakuKapaz1–2
Şamaxı FK2–3Turan0–1Qarabag0–1Sabah FA0–3Neftchi Baku1–4Sumqayıt02/11
Araz07/11Qabala21/11Neftchi BakuTuran1–1Qarabag3–3Sabah FA0–0Qabala3–0Imisli FK3–2Safa Baku4–1Şamaxı FK01/11Kapaz06/11Araz22/11Top Scorers
Safa BakuNeftchi BakuCards Given
Safa BakuNeftchi Baku