Qarabag vs Zira — Premyer Liqa
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Qarabag and Zira meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Qarabag have recorded 13 wins from 23 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 35% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 57% of games. Zira have won 33% of their 18 matches, with 1.61 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.94 for Qarabag and 1.20 for Zira. The models give Qarabag a 56% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Zira win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Qarabag—
Zira3º
Position
6º
2.11
PPG
1.60
56%
Win %
40%
1.56
Goals / game
1.40
0.78
Conceded / game
1.40
35%
BTTS %
61%
57%
Clean sheet %
22%
48%
Over 2.5 %
56%
6.4
Avg corners
0.0
10.4
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.6
Avg yellow cards
0.0
9.3
Avg fouls
0.0
58.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Qarabag
Home (4)
—
Zira
Away (4)
2.50
PPG
0.50
75%
Win %
0%
2.50
Goals / game
0.75
1.50
Conceded / game
2.25
50%
BTTS %
56%
50%
Clean sheet %
11%
70%
Over 2.5 %
67%
6.4
Avg corners
0.0
10.4
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.6
Avg yellow cards
0.0
58.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Qarabag | Home | Away | Zira | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 90% | 62% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 70% | 38% | 50% | 44% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 39% | 50% | 31% | 28% | 33% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 10% | 38% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Qarabag | Home | Away | Zira | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 43% | 50% | 38% | 78% | 67% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 40% | 0% | 39% | 22% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 30% | 0% | 22% | 11% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 57% | 50% | 62% | 22% | 33% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Qarabag | Zira | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 61% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 22% |
| BTTS | 35% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 39% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Qarabag | Zira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 56% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 28% |
| Win 2nd Half | 52% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 9% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 22% | 78% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Qarabag (H)D
Neftchi Baku3–3
Neftchi Baku3–3W
Safa Baku1–0
Safa Baku1–0W
Araz3–2
Araz3–2L
Twente1–4
Twente1–4W
Şamaxı FK3–1
Şamaxı FK3–1W
Dynamo Kyiv2–0
Dynamo Kyiv2–0Zira (A)DAraz2–2
Araz2–2D
Səbail2–2
Səbail2–2D
Kapaz1–1
Kapaz1–1L
Turan0–1
Turan0–1L
Sabah FA0–5
Sabah FA0–5L
Paide0–1
Paide0–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Qarabag | Zira |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.4 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.9 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 71% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 57% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 57% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 43% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 29% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 29% | 0% |
Head to Head · 45 matches
28
Qarabag
62%
15
Draws
33%
2
Zira
4%
73%
Over 1.5
33/45
40%
Over 2.5
18/45
31%
Over 3.5
14/45
44%
BTTS
20/45
13/09/26Qarabag
Zira
1–1Qarabag14/03/26Qarabag
Zira
1–3Qarabag06/12/25Qarabag
Zira
1–1Qarabag12/09/25Zira
Qarabag
1–1Zira06/04/25Zira
Qarabag
1–0Zira02/02/25Qarabag
Zira
3–2Qarabag10/11/24Zira
Qarabag
4–0Zira01/09/24Qarabag
Zira
1–3Qarabag02/06/24Zira
Qarabag
2–1Zira11/05/24Qarabag
Zira
0–1Qarabag10/03/24Zira
Qarabag
3–1Zira24/12/23Qarabag
Zira
0–1Qarabag05/08/23Zira
Qarabag
0–1Zira21/04/23Zira
Qarabag
2–2Zira19/02/23Qarabag
Zira
0–1Qarabag28/11/22Zira
Qarabag
0–0Zira18/09/22Qarabag
Zira
1–7Qarabag27/05/22Zira
Qarabag
1–1Zira08/05/22Zira
Qarabag
0–0Zira19/03/22Qarabag
Zira
0–3QarabagTeam Insights
Qarabag- ●Qarabag have been undefeated in their last 9 matches.
- ●Qarabag have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Qarabag have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Qarabag have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Qarabag have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Qarabag have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Qarabag have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●71% of Qarabag's goals have been scored at home.
Zira- ●Zira have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Zira failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Zira have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Zira have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Zira failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Zira have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●79% of Zira's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Zira's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
QarabagDA
Qabala0–0
Qabala0–0DASabah FA0–0
Sabah FA0–0DHNeftchi Baku3–3
Neftchi Baku3–3WA
Imisli FK2–0
Imisli FK2–0WHSafa Baku1–0
Safa Baku1–0DAZira1–1
Zira1–1–HTuran06/11
Turan06/11–AKapaz22/11
Kapaz22/11–H
Sumqayıt28/11
Sumqayıt28/11ZiraDAAraz2–2
Araz2–2WHSumqayıt3–2
Sumqayıt3–2DAKapaz1–1
Kapaz1–1DHŞamaxı FK1–1
Şamaxı FK1–1LATuran0–1
Turan0–1DHQarabag1–1
Qarabag1–1–HQabala07/11
Qabala07/11–AImisli FK20/11
Imisli FK20/11–ANeftchi Baku28/11
Neftchi Baku28/11Top Scorers
QarabagO. Kashchuk6 ⚽
J. Mouaddib6 ⚽
R. Cephas5 ⚽
Kady Borges4 ⚽
J. Montiel4 ⚽
M. Jankovic4 ⚽
ZiraE. Aydin6 ⚽
Ruan Renato5 ⚽
D. Volkovi4 ⚽
Guima4 ⚽
I. Djibrilla2 ⚽
Q. Aliyev2 ⚽
Cards Given
QarabagM. Jankovic4 🟨
Matheus Silva3 🟨
B. Varkonyi3 🟨
B. Langa2 🟨
C. Makreckis2 🟨
S. Lobato2 🟨
ZiraGuima4 🟨
Ruan Renato3 🟨
E. Alicanov2 🟨
A. Seydiyev2 🟨
H. Hacyly2 🟨
Q. Aliyev2 🟨