AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia — 1. Division
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AEK Arena - George Karapatakis·Lárnaka (Larnaca)·Cyprus·8,000
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AEK Larnaca and Omonia Nicosia meet in the 1. Division 2026 season on 26 October 2026. AEK Larnaca have recorded 9 wins from 16 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.63 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Omonia Nicosia have won 50% of their 20 matches, with 1.55 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for AEK Larnaca and 1.53 for Omonia Nicosia. The models give AEK Larnaca a 32% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Omonia Nicosia win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
AEK Larnaca—
Omonia Nicosia2º
Position
3º
2.17
PPG
2.00
67%
Win %
50%
1.83
Goals / game
2.17
0.83
Conceded / game
0.67
56%
BTTS %
45%
19%
Clean sheet %
40%
56%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
3.5
0.0
Avg shots
10.7
0.0
Avg shots on target
4.8
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.3
0.0
Avg fouls
9.7
0.0%
Avg possession
44.5%
Home vs Away
AEK Larnaca
Home (3)
—
Omonia Nicosia
Away (2)
2.00
PPG
3.00
67%
Win %
100%
1.33
Goals / game
3.50
0.67
Conceded / game
0.50
38%
BTTS %
29%
25%
Clean sheet %
43%
50%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
3.5
0.0
Avg shots
10.7
0.0
Avg shots on target
4.8
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.3
0.0%
Avg possession
44.5%
Goals Scored
| AEK Larnaca | Home | Away | Omonia Nicosia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 63% | 75% | 70% | 77% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 50% | 63% | 45% | 46% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 38% | 25% | 25% | 15% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 38% | 25% | 30% | 23% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| AEK Larnaca | Home | Away | Omonia Nicosia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 75% | 88% | 60% | 62% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 19% | 13% | 25% | 20% | 31% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 13% | 5% | 8% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 25% | 13% | 40% | 38% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AEK Larnaca | Omonia Nicosia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 20% |
| BTTS | 56% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 44% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AEK Larnaca | Omonia Nicosia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 69% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 6% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
AEK Larnaca (H)W
Akritas3–2
Akritas3–2W
Omonia Aradippou1–0
Omonia Aradippou1–0W
Apollon Limassol3–0
Apollon Limassol3–0W
Nea Salamis2–1
Nea Salamis2–1L
Pafos0–1
Pafos0–1W
Apoel Nicosia3–1
Apoel Nicosia3–1Omonia Nicosia (A)W
Celje3–0
Celje3–0W
Karmiotissa3–0
Karmiotissa3–0W
Aris4–1
Aris4–1L
St. Truiden0–1
St. Truiden0–1D
Lincoln Red Imps FC1–1
Lincoln Red Imps FC1–1L
Kairat Almaty0–1
Kairat Almaty0–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | AEK Larnaca | Omonia Nicosia |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 3.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 6.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 83% |
Head to Head · 30 matches
10
AEK Larnaca
33%
8
Draws
27%
12
Omonia Nicosia
40%
70%
Over 1.5
21/30
37%
Over 2.5
11/30
10%
Over 3.5
3/30
47%
BTTS
14/30
10/05/26AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
1–1AEK Larnaca14/04/26Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
0–2Omonia Nicosia14/01/26AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
2–1AEK Larnaca15/12/25Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1–1Omonia Nicosia17/09/25AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
1–0AEK Larnaca07/05/25Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
2–1Omonia Nicosia30/04/25AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
0–0AEK Larnaca22/04/25Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1–1Omonia Nicosia16/03/25AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
1–1AEK Larnaca03/01/25Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
0–3Omonia Nicosia16/09/24AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
1–0AEK Larnaca21/04/24Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
2–0Omonia Nicosia09/03/24AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
0–1AEK Larnaca31/01/24Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
2–1Omonia Nicosia29/10/23AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
0–0AEK Larnaca28/05/23AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
0–2AEK Larnaca21/04/23Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
2–0Omonia Nicosia16/12/22Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
2–1Omonia Nicosia03/09/22AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
3–2AEK Larnaca13/12/21AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
1–1AEK Larnaca| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEL | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 15 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Omonia Nicosia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 12 |
| 4 | Apollon Limassol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 5 | Pafos | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 | Aris | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Apoel Nicosia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 8 |
| 8 |  Omonia 29is Maiou | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Anorthosis | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
| 10 |  Olympiakos | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Omonia Aradippou | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Nea Salamis | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 14 | Karmiotissa | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7 | 3 |
Team Insights
AEK Larnaca- ●AEK Larnaca have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●AEK Larnaca have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●64% of AEK Larnaca's goals have been scored away.
Omonia Nicosia- ●Omonia Nicosia have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Omonia Nicosia have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Omonia Nicosia have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Omonia Nicosia have won their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
AEK LarnacaDAAris1–1
Aris1–1WHOmonia Aradippou1–0
Omonia Aradippou1–0WAOmonia 29is Maiou2–1
Omonia 29is Maiou2–1LHPafos0–1
Pafos0–1WANea Salamis4–1
Nea Salamis4–1WHApoel Nicosia3–1
Apoel Nicosia3–1–HOmonia Nicosia26/10
Omonia Nicosia26/10–AKrasava Ypsonas31/10
Krasava Ypsonas31/10–HKarmiotissa07/11
Karmiotissa07/11Omonia NicosiaDHOlympiakos2–2
Olympiakos2–2WAKarmiotissa3–0
Karmiotissa3–0WHKrasava Ypsonas4–1
Krasava Ypsonas4–1DHApollon Limassol0–0
Apollon Limassol0–0WAAris4–1
Aris4–1DHOmonia Aradippou0–0
Omonia Aradippou0–0–AAEK Larnaca26/10
AEK Larnaca26/10–HAEL31/10
AEL31/10–AAnorthosis08/11
Anorthosis08/11Top Scorers
AEK LarnacaR. Bajic7 ⚽
H. Milicevic4 ⚽
D. Ivanovic4 ⚽
Y. Chacon3 ⚽
N. Andereggen3 ⚽
Nicolas Andereggen2 ⚽
Omonia NicosiaL. Diony6 ⚽
P. Andreou3 ⚽
Muamer Tanković2 ⚽
A. Chatzigiovanis2 ⚽
A. Kakoullis2 ⚽
A. Neofytou2 ⚽
Cards Given
AEK Larnaca2 🟨
Miramon2 🟨
Mike Van der Hoorn2 🟨
Godswill Ekpolo1 🟨
Kerim Mrabti1 🟨
Ivan Chavdarov Pankov1 🟨
Omonia NicosiaS. Coulibaly5 🟨
M. Maric3 🟨
J. Balkovec3 🟨
Senou Coulibaly2 🟨
J. Duverne2 🟨
F. Tanase1 🟨