Cyprus · 1. Division · Regular Season - 7

AEL

1º · 2.50 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 7d 2h

–

Aris

6º · 1.50 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 7d 1h

Alphamega Stadium·Kolossi·Cyprus·10,700

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AEL and Aris meet in the 1. Division 2026 season on 25 October 2026. AEL have recorded 6 wins from 8 matches this season (75% win rate), averaging 1.88 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Aris have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 31%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for AEL and 1.28 for Aris. The models give AEL a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Aris win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 55%.

Season Statistics

AEL

—

Aris

1º

Position

6º

2.50

PPG

1.50

83%

Win %

33%

1.67

Goals / game

1.17

1.33

Conceded / game

1.33

38%

BTTS %

54%

50%

Clean sheet %

31%

50%

Over 2.5 %

54%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

AEL

Home (3)

—

Aris

Away (2)

3.00

PPG

3.00

100%

Win %

100%

2.00

Goals / game

1.50

0.67

Conceded / game

0.50

67%

BTTS %

33%

Clean sheet %

33%

67%

Over 2.5 %

33%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	AEL	Home	Away	Aris	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	88%	100%	80%	77%	86%	67%
Over 1.5 Scored	75%	100%	60%	46%	43%	50%
Over 2.5 Scored	13%	0%	20%	15%	29%	0%
Failed To Score	13%	0%	20%	23%	14%	33%

Goals Conceded

	AEL	Home	Away	Aris	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	50%	67%	40%	69%	71%	67%
Over 1.5 Conceded	13%	0%	20%	38%	57%	17%
Over 2.5 Conceded	13%	0%	20%	15%	14%	17%
Clean Sheets	50%	33%	60%	31%	29%	33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	AEL	Aris
Over 0.5	100%	92%
Over 1.5	100%	69%
Over 2.5	50%	54%
Over 3.5	25%	38%
Over 4.5	13%	23%
BTTS	38%	54%
BTTS & Win	25%	15%
BTTS & Draw	13%	15%
BTTS & Over 2.5	25%	46%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	25%	8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	AEL	Aris
Win 1st Half	38%	38%
Draw 1st Half	38%	31%
Loss 1st Half	25%	31%
Scored 1st Half	38%	54%
Conceded 1st Half	25%	38%
Win 2nd Half	75%	23%
Draw 2nd Half	13%	54%
Loss 2nd Half	13%	23%
Scored 2nd Half	88%	62%
Conceded 2nd Half	38%	54%
Over 0.5 HT	63%	77%
Over 1.5 HT	13%	31%

Recent Venue Form

AEL (H)

Omonia 29is Maiou2–1

Nea Salamis2–1

Anorthosis2–0

Olympiakos1–3

Anorthosis0–1

Enosis2–1

Aris (A)

Olympiakos2–1

Krasava Ypsonas1–0

Union Berlin2–3

Atromitos0–1

Korona Kielce0–1

Legia Warszawa2–0

Head to Head · 13 matches

AEL

23%

Draws

23%

Aris

54%

62%

Over 1.5

8/13

62%

Over 2.5

8/13

31%

Over 3.5

4/13

23%

BTTS

3/13

01/02/26

AEL

2–1

Aris

21/01/26

Aris

0–1

AEL

19/10/25

Aris

4–0

AEL

23/02/25

Aris

4–0

AEL

24/11/24

AEL

0–3

Aris

18/02/24

Aris

4–0

AEL

04/12/23

AEL

0–4

Aris

11/12/22

AEL

0–0

Aris

28/08/22

Aris

2–1

AEL

31/01/22

Aris

1–2

AEL

30/10/21

AEL

0–1

Aris

03/09/21

Aris

0–0

AEL

05/08/20

AEL

0–0

Aris

1. Division

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AEL	6	5	0	1	+2	15
2	AEK Larnaca	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Omonia Nicosia	6	3	3	0	+9	12
4	Apollon Limassol	6	3	3	0	+6	12
5	Pafos	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	Aris	6	2	3	1	-1	9
7	Apoel Nicosia	6	2	2	2	+4	8
8	Omonia 29is Maiou	6	2	2	2	+2	8
9	Omonia Aradippou	6	1	3	2	-2	6
10	Olympiakos	6	0	5	1	-1	5
11	Nea Salamis	6	1	1	4	-4	4
12	Krasava Ypsonas	6	1	0	5	-9	3
13	Anorthosis	6	1	0	5	-9	3
14	Karmiotissa	6	0	3	3	-7	3