AEK Larnaca vs AEL — 1. Division
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AEK Larnaca and AEL meet in the 1. Division 2026 season on 1 December 2026. AEK Larnaca have recorded 10 wins from 18 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. AEL have won 64% of their 11 matches, with 1.64 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for AEK Larnaca and 1.64 for AEL. The models give AEK Larnaca a 47% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an AEL win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| AEK Larnaca | Home | Away | AEL | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 67% | 78% | 82% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 61% | 56% | 67% | 64% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 33% | 22% | 9% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 33% | 22% | 18% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| AEK Larnaca | Home | Away | AEL | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 67% | 89% | 64% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 11% | 33% | 27% | 20% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 33% | 11% | 36% | 20% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AEK Larnaca | AEL | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 9% |
| BTTS | 56% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 39% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AEK Larnaca | AEL | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 9% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | AEK Larnaca | AEL | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 91% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 100% | 91% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 0% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 0% | 55% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 0% | 36% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 0% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | AEK Larnaca | AEL |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.0 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
Head to Head · 25 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 | |
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +11 | 16 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 15 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 15 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -11 | 6 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 6 | |
| 11 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 | |
| 12 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -2 | 6 | |
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 | |
| 14 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●AEK Larnaca have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●AEK Larnaca have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●AEK Larnaca have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●AEK Larnaca have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●AEK Larnaca have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●AEK Larnaca have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●AEL have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●64% of AEL's goals have been scored at home.