Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil — Third League - Southwest
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Septemvri Simitli and Kyustendil meet in the Third League - Southwest 2026 season on 18 November 2026. Septemvri Simitli have recorded 5 wins from 16 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Kyustendil have won 29% of their 14 matches, with 0.93 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Septemvri Simitli and 1.27 for Kyustendil. The models give Septemvri Simitli a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Kyustendil win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Septemvri Simitli—
Kyustendil16º
Position
15º
1.07
PPG
1.23
21%
Win %
31%
1.36
Goals / game
1.00
1.71
Conceded / game
1.23
69%
BTTS %
43%
25%
Clean sheet %
21%
56%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Septemvri Simitli
Home (7)
—
Kyustendil
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
1.00
14%
Win %
17%
1.14
Goals / game
1.17
1.43
Conceded / game
1.50
57%
BTTS %
57%
29%
Clean sheet %
14%
29%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Septemvri Simitli | Home | Away | Kyustendil | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 71% | 100% | 57% | 43% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 29% | 56% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 29% | 0% | 43% | 57% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Septemvri Simitli | Home | Away | Kyustendil | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 71% | 78% | 79% | 71% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 43% | 44% | 36% | 14% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 29% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 29% | 22% | 21% | 29% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Septemvri Simitli | Kyustendil | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS | 69% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 31% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Septemvri Simitli | Kyustendil | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Septemvri Simitli (H)D
Slavia Sofia II1–1
Slavia Sofia II1–1D
Belasitsa1–1
Belasitsa1–1L
Oborishte1–3
Oborishte1–3L
FK Minyor Pernik0–2
FK Minyor Pernik0–2D
Natsional Sofia3–3
Natsional Sofia3–3D
CSKA Sofia III0–0
CSKA Sofia III0–0Kyustendil (A)WSlavia Sofia II2–0
Slavia Sofia II2–0DOborishte2–2
Oborishte2–2LFK Minyor Pernik0–2
FK Minyor Pernik0–2DNatsional Sofia1–1
Natsional Sofia1–1DCSKA Sofia III1–1
CSKA Sofia III1–1L
Kostinbrod1–3
Kostinbrod1–3Head to Head · 9 matches
3
Septemvri Simitli
33%
3
Draws
33%
3
Kyustendil
33%
89%
Over 1.5
8/9
56%
Over 2.5
5/9
33%
Over 3.5
3/9
56%
BTTS
5/9
29/05/26Kyustendil
Septemvri Simitli
2–0Kyustendil15/11/25Septemvri Simitli
Kyustendil
1–0Septemvri Simitli04/06/25Kyustendil
Septemvri Simitli
3–1Kyustendil23/11/24Septemvri Simitli
Kyustendil
3–0Septemvri Simitli16/03/24Septemvri Simitli
Kyustendil
3–3Septemvri Simitli02/09/23Kyustendil
Septemvri Simitli
2–2Kyustendil19/11/22Kyustendil
Septemvri Simitli
1–1Kyustendil03/09/22Septemvri Simitli
Kyustendil
2–1Septemvri Simitli23/11/19Kyustendil
Septemvri Simitli
2–0Kyustendil| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minyor Pernik | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | +27 | 36 |
| 2 |  Bansko | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 | Oborishte | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 | Kostinbrod | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 |  Balkan Botevgrad | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 22 |
| 6 |  Strumska Slava | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 21 |
| 7 |  Septemvri Sofia II | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 19 |
| 8 |  Slivnishki geroy | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 19 |
| 9 | Belasitsa | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | CSKA Sofia III | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | +1 | 17 |
| 11 | Slavia Sofia II | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 17 |
| 12 |  Chavdar Etropole | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 17 |
| 13 |  Botev Ihtiman | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 |  Levski Sofia II | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 15 | Kyustendil | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 16 | Septemvri Simitli | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 |  Pirin Razlog | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -26 | 10 |
Team Insights
Septemvri Simitli- ●Septemvri Simitli have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Kyustendil- ●Kyustendil have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Kyustendil have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Kyustendil have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Kyustendil failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Kyustendil failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Kyustendil have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
Septemvri SimitliLALevski Sofia II1–2
Levski Sofia II1–2DHSlavia Sofia II1–1
Slavia Sofia II1–1DABotev Ihtiman2–2
Botev Ihtiman2–2DHBelasitsa1–1
Belasitsa1–1WAStrumska Slava2–1
Strumska Slava2–1LHOborishte1–3
Oborishte1–3–HSeptemvri Sofia II07/11
Septemvri Sofia II07/11–ASlivnishki geroy14/11
Slivnishki geroy14/11–HKyustendil18/11
Kyustendil18/11KyustendilWASlavia Sofia II2–0
Slavia Sofia II2–0WHBotev Ihtiman1–0
Botev Ihtiman1–0DHBelasitsa0–0
Belasitsa0–0DAOborishte2–2
Oborishte2–2LHBansko0–3
Bansko0–3LAFK Minyor Pernik0–2
FK Minyor Pernik0–2–HStrumska Slava04/11
Strumska Slava04/11–HLevski Sofia II07/11
Levski Sofia II07/11–ASeptemvri Sofia II14/11
Septemvri Sofia II14/11