Balkan Botevgrad vs Natsional Sofia — Third League - Southwest
← Back

Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Balkan Botevgrad and Natsional Sofia meet in the Third League - Southwest 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Balkan Botevgrad have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 0.78 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 22% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 22%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Natsional Sofia have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 1.22 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Balkan Botevgrad and 1.20 for Natsional Sofia. The models give Balkan Botevgrad a 50% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Natsional Sofia win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Balkan Botevgrad | Home | Away | Natsional Sofia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 100% | 40% | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 11% | 25% | 0% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 0% | 60% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Balkan Botevgrad | Home | Away | Natsional Sofia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 50% | 60% | 78% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 50% | 40% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 50% | 40% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Balkan Botevgrad | Natsional Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 44% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 22% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS | 22% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 22% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Balkan Botevgrad | Natsional Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 22% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 11% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +12 | 21 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 19 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 15 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | +5 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 | |
| 12 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | |
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 | |
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 8 | |
| 16 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Balkan Botevgrad have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Balkan Botevgrad have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Natsional Sofia have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Natsional Sofia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.