Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli — Third League - Southwest
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Botev Ihtiman and Septemvri Simitli meet in the Third League - Southwest 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Botev Ihtiman have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Septemvri Simitli have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Botev Ihtiman and 1.33 for Septemvri Simitli. The models give Botev Ihtiman a 48% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Septemvri Simitli win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Botev IhtimanSeptemvri SimitliHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Botev Ihtiman | Home | Away | Septemvri Simitli | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 100% | 50% | 80% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 25% | 50% | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 0% | 50% | 20% | 50% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Botev Ihtiman | Home | Away | Septemvri Simitli | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 75% | 100% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 50% | 33% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 17% | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Botev Ihtiman | Septemvri Simitli | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 20% |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Botev Ihtiman | Septemvri Simitli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 80% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Botev Ihtiman (H)
Natsional Sofia3–2
CSKA Sofia III2–1
Kostinbrod1–0
Septemvri Sofia II1–2
Vitosha Bistritsa3–0
Balkan Botevgrad3–3Septemvri Simitli (A)
Bansko1–3
Pirin Razlog1–1
Chavdar Etropole2–4Balkan Botevgrad2–1
Belasica3–0Septemvri Sofia II0–0Head to Head · 9 matches
Septemvri SimitliBotev IhtimanSeptemvri SimitliBotev IhtimanSeptemvri SimitliBotev IhtimanSeptemvri SimitliSeptemvri SimitliBotev Ihtiman| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Strumska Slava | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 16 |
| 2 |  Oborishte | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 15 |
| 3 | Botev Ihtiman | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 4 |  FK Minyor Pernik | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 | Septemvri Sofia II | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 6 | Bansko | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 | Kostinbrod | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Belasitsa | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Slavia Sofia II | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 |  Slivnishki geroy | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Balkan Botevgrad | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | CSKA Sofia III | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Kyustendil | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 |  Levski Sofia II | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Chavdar Etropole | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
| 17 | Pirin Razlog | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 | Natsional Sofia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
Team Insights
Botev Ihtiman- ●Botev Ihtiman failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Botev Ihtiman have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Botev Ihtiman have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
Septemvri Simitli- ●Septemvri Simitli have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Season Schedule
Botev IhtimanPirin Razlog0–1Natsional Sofia3–2Chavdar Etropole4–1CSKA Sofia III2–1Balkan Botevgrad0–1Kostinbrod1–0FK Minyor Pernik26/09Bansko03/10Oborishte10/10Septemvri SimitliBansko1–3FK Minyor Pernik0–2Pirin Razlog1–1Natsional Sofia3–3Chavdar Etropole2–4CSKA Sofia III0–0Oborishte26/09Strumska Slava03/10Belasitsa10/10