MatchPulse

Belasitsa vs Chavdar Etropole — Third League - Southwest

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Belasitsa
Belasitsa
14º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 18d 1h
vs
–
–
Chavdar Etropole
Chavdar Etropole
15º · 0.91 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 18d 1h
Stadion Tsar Samuil·Petrich·Bulgaria·9,500
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Belasitsa and Chavdar Etropole meet in the Third League - Southwest 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Belasitsa have recorded 5 wins from 16 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Chavdar Etropole have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.09 goals scored and 2.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 9%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.11 for Belasitsa and 1.23 for Chavdar Etropole. The models give Belasitsa a 54% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Chavdar Etropole win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 62%.

Season Statistics

Belasitsa
—
Chavdar Etropole
14º
Position
15º
1.00
PPG
0.91
27%
Win %
27%
1.55
Goals / game
1.09
1.91
Conceded / game
2.55
69%
BTTS %
64%
19%
Clean sheet %
9%
56%
Over 2.5 %
82%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Belasitsa
Home (5)
—
Chavdar Etropole
Away (6)
1.20
PPG
0.50
40%
Win %
17%
2.00
Goals / game
0.50
2.20
Conceded / game
2.83
60%
BTTS %
33%
30%
Clean sheet %
17%
60%
Over 2.5 %
83%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

BelasitsaHomeAwayChavdar EtropoleHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored75%70%83%73%100%50%
Over 1.5 Scored38%50%17%18%40%0%
Over 2.5 Scored25%30%17%9%20%0%
Failed To Score25%30%17%27%0%50%

Goals Conceded

BelasitsaHomeAwayChavdar EtropoleHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded81%70%100%91%100%83%
Over 1.5 Conceded38%40%33%73%60%83%
Over 2.5 Conceded13%10%17%55%40%67%
Clean Sheets19%30%0%9%0%17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

BelasitsaChavdar Etropole
Over 0.588%100%
Over 1.575%91%
Over 2.556%82%
Over 3.531%55%
Over 4.525%27%
BTTS69%64%
BTTS & Win25%18%
BTTS & Draw13%9%
BTTS & Over 2.556%55%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%27%

1st Half / 2nd Half

BelasitsaChavdar Etropole
Win 1st Half27%27%
Draw 1st Half40%18%
Loss 1st Half33%55%
Scored 1st Half40%36%
Conceded 1st Half47%73%
Win 2nd Half7%18%
Draw 2nd Half60%27%
Loss 2nd Half33%55%
Scored 2nd Half60%55%
Conceded 2nd Half67%91%
Over 0.5 HT73%91%
Over 1.5 HT33%55%

Recent Venue Form

Belasitsa (H)
LBalkan Botevgrad1–2
LDobrudzha1–2
LKostinbrod0–1
WSlivnishki geroy3–2
WSeptemvri Sofia II2–1
LLevski Sofia II4–5
Chavdar Etropole (A)
LKostinbrod0–5
WSeptemvri Sofia II1–0
LSlavia Sofia II0–4
LKyustendil1–3
LStrumska Slava1–2
LBansko0–3

Head to Head · 8 matches

5
Belasitsa
63%
2
Draws
25%
1
Chavdar Etropole
13%
50%
Over 1.5
4/8
38%
Over 2.5
3/8
13%
Over 3.5
1/8
38%
BTTS
3/8
22/09/22
Chavdar Etropole
1–0
Belasitsa
09/04/22
Chavdar Etropole
1–1
Belasitsa
25/09/21
Belasitsa
2–1
Chavdar Etropole
29/05/21
Belasitsa
3–1
Chavdar Etropole
28/11/20
Chavdar Etropole
0–1
Belasitsa
28/09/19
Chavdar Etropole
0–0
Belasitsa
01/06/19
Chavdar Etropole
0–1
Belasitsa
24/11/18
Belasitsa
3–0
Chavdar Etropole
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1FK Minyor Pernik11821+1826
2Oborishte10640+1222
3Bansko10712+822
4Strumska Slava10613+819
5Septemvri Sofia II10613+519
6Balkan Botevgrad11614019
7Kostinbrod11605+618
8Botev Ihtiman10505+115
9Slivnishki geroy11425-214
10Septemvri Simitli11344-413
11Slavia Sofia II10406+112
12CSKA Sofia III10262012
13Levski Sofia II11335-212
14Belasitsa11326-411
15Chavdar Etropole11317-1610
16Kyustendil10235-69
17Natsional Sofia11146-87
18Pirin Razlog11218-177

Team Insights

Belasitsa
  • ●Belasitsa have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
  • ●Belasitsa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
  • ●Belasitsa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Belasitsa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Belasitsa failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Belasitsa failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Belasitsa have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Chavdar Etropole
  • ●Chavdar Etropole failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Chavdar Etropole have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Chavdar Etropole failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Chavdar Etropole failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Chavdar Etropole have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●75% of Chavdar Etropole's goals have been scored at home.
LHDobrudzha1–2
LAStrumska Slava4º1–2
LHKostinbrod7º0–1
LAOborishte2º0–1
LABansko3º1–4
LAKostinbrod7º0–5
LHLevski Sofia II13º1–3
LASlavia Sofia II11º0–4
LHBotev Ihtiman8º1–4
LAKyustendil16º1–3
LAStrumska Slava4º1–2
DHOborishte2º1–1

Season Schedule

Belasitsa
DASeptemvri Simitli1–1
LHBalkan Botevgrad1–2
LAStrumska Slava1–2
LHKostinbrod0–1
LAOborishte0–1
WHSlivnishki geroy3–2
–HCSKA Sofia III17/10
–AKyustendil24/10
–HChavdar Etropole28/10
Chavdar Etropole
LAKostinbrod0–5
WHSlivnishki geroy2–1
WASeptemvri Sofia II1–0
LHLevski Sofia II1–3
LASlavia Sofia II0–4
LHBotev Ihtiman1–4
–HBalkan Botevgrad17/10
–ACSKA Sofia III24/10
–ABelasitsa28/10

Top Scorers

Belasitsa
A. Karachanakov1 ⚽
L. Todorov1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Chavdar Etropole