Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest · Southwest - 14

Natsional Sofia

16º · 0.78 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 32d 0h

–

CSKA Sofia III

12º · 1.13 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 32d 0h

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Natsional Sofia and CSKA Sofia III meet in the Third League - Southwest 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Natsional Sofia have recorded 1 wins from 9 matches this season (11% win rate), averaging 1.22 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. CSKA Sofia III have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 0.88 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 25%, and clean sheets at 38%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.25 for Natsional Sofia and 1.16 for CSKA Sofia III. The models give Natsional Sofia a 37% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an CSKA Sofia III win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 49%.

Season Statistics

Natsional Sofia

—

CSKA Sofia III

16º

Position

12º

0.78

PPG

1.13

11%

Win %

13%

1.22

Goals / game

0.88

1.78

Conceded / game

0.88

56%

BTTS %

63%

22%

Clean sheet %

38%

56%

Over 2.5 %

25%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Natsional Sofia

Home (4)

—

CSKA Sofia III

Away (5)

1.25

PPG

0.80

25%

Win %

1.25

Goals / game

0.60

1.50

Conceded / game

0.80

50%

BTTS %

60%

25%

Clean sheet %

40%

50%

Over 2.5 %

20%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Natsional Sofia	Home	Away	CSKA Sofia	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	67%	75%	60%	63%	67%	60%
Over 1.5 Scored	44%	50%	40%	13%	33%	0%
Over 2.5 Scored	11%	0%	20%	13%	33%	0%
Failed To Score	33%	25%	40%	38%	33%	40%

Goals Conceded

	Natsional Sofia	Home	Away	CSKA Sofia	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	78%	75%	80%	63%	67%	60%
Over 1.5 Conceded	56%	50%	60%	25%	33%	20%
Over 2.5 Conceded	44%	25%	60%	0%	0%	0%
Clean Sheets	22%	25%	20%	38%	33%	40%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Natsional Sofia	CSKA Sofia
Over 0.5	89%	63%
Over 1.5	78%	63%
Over 2.5	56%	25%
Over 3.5	44%	13%
Over 4.5	22%	13%
BTTS	56%	63%
BTTS & Win	0%	13%
BTTS & Draw	33%	38%
BTTS & Over 2.5	44%	25%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	11%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Natsional Sofia	CSKA Sofia
Win 1st Half	11%	25%
Draw 1st Half	44%	50%
Loss 1st Half	44%	25%
Scored 1st Half	44%	25%
Conceded 1st Half	67%	25%
Win 2nd Half	11%	13%
Draw 2nd Half	67%	63%
Loss 2nd Half	22%	25%
Scored 2nd Half	56%	50%
Conceded 2nd Half	67%	50%
Over 0.5 HT	78%	50%
Over 1.5 HT	44%	13%

Recent Venue Form

Natsional Sofia (H)

Slavia Sofia II2–0

Kyustendil1–1

Strumska Slava0–3

Bansko2–2

Rilski Sportist3–4

Bankya 20095–2

CSKA Sofia (A)

Slivnishki geroy1–1

Levski Sofia II0–0

Botev Ihtiman1–2

Septemvri Simitli0–0

Oborishte1–1

Vitosha Bistritsa3–0

Third League - Southwest

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Oborishte	9	6	3	0	+12	21
2	FK Minyor Pernik	9	6	2	1	+12	20
3	Strumska Slava	9	6	1	2	+9	19
4	Bansko	9	6	1	2	+7	19
5	Botev Ihtiman	9	5	0	4	+2	15
6	Kostinbrod	9	5	0	4	+2	15
7	Septemvri Sofia II	8	4	1	3	+3	13
8	Balkan Botevgrad	9	4	1	4	-2	13
9	Slavia Sofia II	9	4	0	5	+5	12
10	Slivnishki geroy	9	3	2	4	-3	11
11	Belasitsa	9	3	1	5	-3	10
12	CSKA Sofia III	8	1	6	1	0	9
13	Levski Sofia II	9	2	3	4	-1	9
14	Septemvri Simitli	9	2	3	4	-5	9
15	Kyustendil	9	2	2	5	-6	8
16	Natsional Sofia	9	1	4	4	-5	7
17	Chavdar Etropole	9	2	1	6	-12	7
18	Pirin Razlog	9	2	1	6	-15	7