Chavdar Etropole vs Natsional Sofia — Third League - Southwest
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Chavdar Etropole and Natsional Sofia meet in the Third League - Southwest 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Chavdar Etropole have recorded 4 wins from 13 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 2.15 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Natsional Sofia have won 15% of their 13 matches, with 1.23 goals scored and 1.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Chavdar Etropole and 1.39 for Natsional Sofia. The models give Chavdar Etropole a 46% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Natsional Sofia win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Chavdar Etropole | Home | Away | Natsional Sofia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 100% | 43% | 69% | 83% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 15% | 33% | 0% | 38% | 33% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 17% | 0% | 15% | 0% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 0% | 57% | 31% | 17% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Chavdar Etropole | Home | Away | Natsional Sofia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 83% | 71% | 85% | 83% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 62% | 50% | 71% | 62% | 67% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 46% | 33% | 57% | 38% | 33% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 17% | 29% | 15% | 17% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chavdar Etropole | Natsional Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 15% |
| BTTS | 54% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chavdar Etropole | Natsional Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 8% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 46% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 69% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 15% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 54% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 77% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +21 | 29 | |
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 22 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 22 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | +10 | 21 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 19 | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 | |
| 7 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 19 | |
| 8 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | +2 | 15 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +2 | 15 | |
| 11 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 15 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 13 | |
| 13 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 13 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 11 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 9 | |
| 17 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 | |
| 18 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Chavdar Etropole have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Chavdar Etropole have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Chavdar Etropole have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Chavdar Etropole failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Chavdar Etropole have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Chavdar Etropole failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Chavdar Etropole have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●77% of Chavdar Etropole's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Natsional Sofia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Natsional Sofia failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.