Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest · Southwest - 16

Belasitsa

14º · 1.00 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 27d 23h

–

Natsional Sofia

17º · 0.64 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 27d 23h

Stadion Tsar Samuil·Petrich·Bulgaria·9,500

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Belasitsa and Natsional Sofia meet in the Third League - Southwest 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Belasitsa have recorded 5 wins from 16 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Natsional Sofia have won 8% of their 12 matches, with 1.08 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 17%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Belasitsa and 1.43 for Natsional Sofia. The models give Belasitsa a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Natsional Sofia win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.

Season Statistics

Belasitsa

—

Natsional Sofia

14º

Position

17º

1.00

PPG

0.64

27%

Win %

1.55

Goals / game

1.09

1.91

Conceded / game

1.82

69%

BTTS %

58%

19%

Clean sheet %

17%

56%

Over 2.5 %

58%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Belasitsa

Home (5)

—

Natsional Sofia

Away (6)

1.20

PPG

0.33

40%

Win %

2.00

Goals / game

1.00

2.20

Conceded / game

2.00

60%

BTTS %

50%

30%

Clean sheet %

17%

60%

Over 2.5 %

50%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Belasitsa	Home	Away	Natsional Sofia	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	75%	70%	83%	67%	83%	50%
Over 1.5 Scored	38%	50%	17%	33%	33%	33%
Over 2.5 Scored	25%	30%	17%	8%	0%	17%
Failed To Score	25%	30%	17%	33%	17%	50%

Goals Conceded

	Belasitsa	Home	Away	Natsional Sofia	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	81%	70%	100%	83%	83%	83%
Over 1.5 Conceded	38%	40%	33%	67%	67%	67%
Over 2.5 Conceded	13%	10%	17%	42%	33%	50%
Clean Sheets	19%	30%	0%	17%	17%	17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Belasitsa	Natsional Sofia
Over 0.5	88%	92%
Over 1.5	75%	83%
Over 2.5	56%	58%
Over 3.5	31%	42%
Over 4.5	25%	17%
BTTS	69%	58%
BTTS & Win	25%	0%
BTTS & Draw	13%	25%
BTTS & Over 2.5	56%	50%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Belasitsa	Natsional Sofia
Win 1st Half	27%	8%
Draw 1st Half	40%	42%
Loss 1st Half	33%	50%
Scored 1st Half	40%	42%
Conceded 1st Half	47%	67%
Win 2nd Half	7%	8%
Draw 2nd Half	60%	58%
Loss 2nd Half	33%	33%
Scored 2nd Half	60%	50%
Conceded 2nd Half	67%	67%
Over 0.5 HT	73%	75%
Over 1.5 HT	33%	50%

Recent Venue Form

Belasitsa (H)

Balkan Botevgrad1–2

Dobrudzha1–2

Kostinbrod0–1

Slivnishki geroy3–2

Septemvri Sofia II2–1

Levski Sofia II4–5

Natsional Sofia (A)

Slivnishki geroy0–2

Levski Sofia II0–0

Botev Ihtiman2–3

Septemvri Simitli3–3

Oborishte1–3

FK Minyor Pernik0–1

Third League - Southwest

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Minyor Pernik	11	8	2	1	+18	26
2	Oborishte	10	6	4	0	+12	22
3	Bansko	10	7	1	2	+8	22
4	Strumska Slava	10	6	1	3	+8	19
5	Septemvri Sofia II	10	6	1	3	+5	19
6	Balkan Botevgrad	11	6	1	4	0	19
7	Kostinbrod	11	6	0	5	+6	18
8	Botev Ihtiman	10	5	0	5	+1	15
9	Slivnishki geroy	11	4	2	5	-2	14
10	Septemvri Simitli	11	3	4	4	-4	13
11	Slavia Sofia II	10	4	0	6	+1	12
12	CSKA Sofia III	10	2	6	2	0	12
13	Levski Sofia II	11	3	3	5	-2	12
14	Belasitsa	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Chavdar Etropole	11	3	1	7	-16	10
16	Kyustendil	10	2	3	5	-6	9
17	Natsional Sofia	11	1	4	6	-8	7
18	Pirin Razlog	11	2	1	8	-17	7