Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest · Southwest - 16

Oborishte

2º · 2.20 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 30d 23h

–

Kostinbrod

7º · 1.64 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 27d 23h

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Oborishte and Kostinbrod meet in the Third League - Southwest 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Oborishte have recorded 6 wins from 11 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 2.09 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Kostinbrod have won 55% of their 11 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 27%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 36%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Oborishte and 1.08 for Kostinbrod. The models give Oborishte a 48% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Kostinbrod win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.

Season Statistics

Oborishte

—

Kostinbrod

2º

Position

7º

2.20

PPG

1.64

60%

Win %

55%

2.20

Goals / game

1.45

1.00

Conceded / game

0.91

73%

BTTS %

27%

Clean sheet %

36%

64%

Over 2.5 %

45%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Oborishte

Home (6)

—

Kostinbrod

Away (6)

2.00

PPG

1.50

50%

Win %

50%

1.67

Goals / game

1.00

Conceded / game

0.83

71%

BTTS %

17%

29%

Clean sheet %

33%

57%

Over 2.5 %

33%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Oborishte	Home	Away	Kostinbrod	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	91%	86%	100%	64%	80%	50%
Over 1.5 Scored	55%	43%	75%	36%	40%	33%
Over 2.5 Scored	45%	29%	75%	27%	40%	17%
Failed To Score	9%	14%	0%	36%	20%	50%

Goals Conceded

	Oborishte	Home	Away	Kostinbrod	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	73%	71%	75%	64%	60%	67%
Over 1.5 Conceded	36%	43%	25%	18%	20%	17%
Over 2.5 Conceded	9%	14%	0%	9%	20%	0%
Clean Sheets	27%	29%	25%	36%	40%	33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Oborishte	Kostinbrod
Over 0.5	91%	100%
Over 1.5	82%	55%
Over 2.5	64%	45%
Over 3.5	64%	27%
Over 4.5	18%	9%
BTTS	73%	27%
BTTS & Win	36%	18%
BTTS & Draw	27%	0%
BTTS & Over 2.5	55%	27%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	9%	18%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Oborishte	Kostinbrod
Win 1st Half	36%	36%
Draw 1st Half	36%	36%
Loss 1st Half	27%	27%
Scored 1st Half	45%	36%
Conceded 1st Half	36%	27%
Win 2nd Half	45%	36%
Draw 2nd Half	36%	36%
Loss 2nd Half	18%	27%
Scored 2nd Half	82%	64%
Conceded 2nd Half	55%	55%
Over 0.5 HT	73%	64%
Over 1.5 HT	27%	27%

Recent Venue Form

Oborishte (H)

Kyustendil2–2

Yantra 20191–3

Strumska Slava3–2

Belasitsa1–0

FK Minyor Pernik0–0

Natsional Sofia3–1

Kostinbrod (A)

CSKA Sofia III0–1

Belasitsa1–0

Slivnishki geroy3–0

Levski Sofia II2–1

Botev Ihtiman0–1

Septemvri Simitli0–2

Head to Head · 8 matches

Oborishte

50%

Draws

25%

Kostinbrod

25%

88%

Over 1.5

7/8

63%

Over 2.5

5/8

25%

Over 3.5

2/8

63%

BTTS

5/8

09/04/26

Kostinbrod

0–0

Oborishte

27/09/25

Oborishte

2–1

Kostinbrod

16/03/24

Oborishte

5–2

Kostinbrod

02/09/23

Kostinbrod

1–1

Oborishte

04/03/23

Kostinbrod

2–1

Oborishte

08/10/22

Oborishte

0–4

Kostinbrod

28/05/22

Kostinbrod

0–2

Oborishte

20/11/21

Oborishte

2–1

Kostinbrod

Third League - Southwest

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Minyor Pernik	11	8	2	1	+18	26
2	Oborishte	10	6	4	0	+12	22
3	Bansko	10	7	1	2	+8	22
4	Strumska Slava	10	6	1	3	+8	19
5	Septemvri Sofia II	10	6	1	3	+5	19
6	Balkan Botevgrad	11	6	1	4	0	19
7	Kostinbrod	11	6	0	5	+6	18
8	Botev Ihtiman	10	5	0	5	+1	15
9	Slivnishki geroy	11	4	2	5	-2	14
10	Septemvri Simitli	11	3	4	4	-4	13
11	Slavia Sofia II	10	4	0	6	+1	12
12	CSKA Sofia III	10	2	6	2	0	12
13	Levski Sofia II	11	3	3	5	-2	12
14	Belasitsa	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Chavdar Etropole	11	3	1	7	-16	10
16	Kyustendil	10	2	3	5	-6	9
17	Natsional Sofia	11	1	4	6	-8	7
18	Pirin Razlog	11	2	1	8	-17	7

Team Insights

Oborishte

●Oborishte have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
●Oborishte have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
●Oborishte have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
●Oborishte have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
●Oborishte have won their last 3 away matches.
●Oborishte have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
●Oborishte have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●Oborishte failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.