Septemvri Simitli vs Septemvri Sofia II — Third League - Southwest
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Septemvri Simitli and Septemvri Sofia II meet in the Third League - Southwest 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Septemvri Simitli have recorded 5 wins from 13 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.46 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Septemvri Sofia II have won 60% of their 10 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.35 for Septemvri Simitli and 1.46 for Septemvri Sofia II. The models give Septemvri Simitli a 35% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Septemvri Sofia II win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Septemvri Simitli—
Septemvri Sofia II10º
Position
5º
1.18
PPG
1.90
27%
Win %
60%
1.36
Goals / game
1.50
1.73
Conceded / game
1.00
62%
BTTS %
70%
31%
Clean sheet %
20%
54%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Septemvri Simitli
Home (6)
—
Septemvri Sofia II
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
2.00
17%
Win %
60%
1.17
Goals / game
1.80
1.50
Conceded / game
1.20
50%
BTTS %
100%
33%
Clean sheet %
0%
33%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Septemvri Simitli | Home | Away | Septemvri Sofia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 67% | 100% | 90% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 33% | 57% | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 33% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Septemvri Simitli | Home | Away | Septemvri Sofia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 67% | 71% | 80% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 50% | 29% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 33% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 33% | 29% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Septemvri Simitli | Septemvri Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 10% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 0% |
| BTTS | 62% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Septemvri Simitli | Septemvri Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 73% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 55% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Septemvri Simitli (H)D
Belasitsa1–1
Belasitsa1–1L
Oborishte1–3
Oborishte1–3L
FK Minyor Pernik0–2
FK Minyor Pernik0–2D
Natsional Sofia3–3
Natsional Sofia3–3D
CSKA Sofia III0–0
CSKA Sofia III0–0W
Kostinbrod2–0
Kostinbrod2–0Septemvri Sofia (A)WNatsional Sofia2–1
Natsional Sofia2–1WKostinbrod3–1
Kostinbrod3–1LBelasitsa1–2
Belasitsa1–2D
Levski Sofia II1–1
Levski Sofia II1–1W
Botev Ihtiman2–1
Botev Ihtiman2–1WLevski Sofia II2–0
Levski Sofia II2–0Head to Head · 6 matches
4
Septemvri Simitli
67%
2
Draws
33%
0
Septemvri Sofia
0%
50%
Over 1.5
3/6
17%
Over 2.5
1/6
0%
Over 3.5
0/6
0%
BTTS
0/6
23/05/26Septemvri Simitli
Septemvri Sofia II
0–0Septemvri Simitli09/11/25Septemvri Sofia II
Septemvri Simitli
1–0Septemvri Sofia II30/04/25Septemvri Simitli
Septemvri Sofia II
0–2Septemvri Simitli06/10/24Septemvri Sofia II
Septemvri Simitli
3–0Septemvri Sofia II02/03/24Septemvri Simitli
Septemvri Sofia II
0–0Septemvri Simitli16/08/23Septemvri Sofia II
Septemvri Simitli
2–0Septemvri Sofia II| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minyor Pernik | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +18 | 26 |
| 2 | Oborishte | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 |  Bansko | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 22 |
| 4 |  Strumska Slava | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 | Septemvri Sofia II | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Balkan Botevgrad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 | Kostinbrod | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 | Botev Ihtiman | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Slivnishki geroy | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 |  Slavia Sofia II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 | CSKA Sofia III | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Levski Sofia II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Belasitsa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |  Chavdar Etropole | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 10 |
| 16 |  Kyustendil | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 |  Pirin Razlog | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -17 | 7 |
Team Insights
Septemvri Simitli- ●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Septemvri Sofia- ●Septemvri Sofia II have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia II have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia II have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia II failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia II have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia II have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Septemvri SimitliDHBelasitsa1–1
Belasitsa1–1WAStrumska Slava2–1
Strumska Slava2–1LHOborishte1–3
Oborishte1–3LABansko1–3
Bansko1–3LHFK Minyor Pernik0–2
FK Minyor Pernik0–2DAPirin Razlog1–1
Pirin Razlog1–1–HKyustendil17/10
Kyustendil17/10–ABotev Ihtiman24/10
Botev Ihtiman24/10–HSlavia Sofia II28/10
Slavia Sofia II28/10Septemvri SofiaWHPirin Razlog2–1
Pirin Razlog2–1WANatsional Sofia2–1
Natsional Sofia2–1LHChavdar Etropole0–1
Chavdar Etropole0–1WHBalkan Botevgrad2–0
Balkan Botevgrad2–0WAKostinbrod3–1
Kostinbrod3–1LHSlivnishki geroy1–2
Slivnishki geroy1–2–AFK Minyor Pernik17/10
FK Minyor Pernik17/10–HBansko24/10
Bansko24/10–AOborishte28/10
Oborishte28/10