Chavdar Etropole vs FK Minyor Pernik — Third League - Southwest
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Chavdar Etropole and FK Minyor Pernik meet in the Third League - Southwest 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Chavdar Etropole have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.08 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. FK Minyor Pernik have won 56% of their 18 matches, with 1.72 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 39%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Chavdar Etropole and 1.59 for FK Minyor Pernik. The models give Chavdar Etropole a 27% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an FK Minyor Pernik win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Chavdar Etropole | Home | Away | FK Minyor | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 50% | 83% | 90% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 33% | 0% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 17% | 0% | 22% | 30% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 0% | 50% | 17% | 10% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Chavdar Etropole | Home | Away | FK Minyor | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 83% | 83% | 50% | 60% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 83% | 28% | 30% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 67% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 17% | 17% | 50% | 40% | 63% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chavdar Etropole | FK Minyor | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 11% |
| BTTS | 58% | 39% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chavdar Etropole | FK Minyor | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 6% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 17% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 72% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 83% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 4 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +21 | 29 | |
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 22 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 22 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 19 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | +6 | 18 | |
| 8 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | +2 | 15 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +2 | 15 | |
| 11 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 15 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 13 | |
| 13 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 13 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 11 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 9 | |
| 17 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 | |
| 18 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Chavdar Etropole have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Chavdar Etropole have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Chavdar Etropole failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Chavdar Etropole have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Chavdar Etropole failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chavdar Etropole have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●77% of Chavdar Etropole's goals have been scored at home.
- ●77% of Chavdar Etropole's points have been earned at home.
- ●FK Minyor Pernik have won their last 7 matches.
- ●FK Minyor Pernik have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●FK Minyor Pernik have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●FK Minyor Pernik have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●FK Minyor Pernik have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●FK Minyor Pernik have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●FK Minyor Pernik have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●FK Minyor Pernik have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 away matches.
- ●FK Minyor Pernik have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●FK Minyor Pernik have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●FK Minyor Pernik have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●FK Minyor Pernik have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●FK Minyor Pernik have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of FK Minyor Pernik's goals have been scored at home.