Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava — Third League - Southwest
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Kostinbrod and Strumska Slava meet in the Third League - Southwest 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Kostinbrod have recorded 7 wins from 12 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Strumska Slava have won 55% of their 11 matches, with 1.91 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.98 for Kostinbrod and 1.27 for Strumska Slava. The models give Kostinbrod a 49% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Strumska Slava win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Kostinbrod | Home | Away | Strumska Slava | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 83% | 50% | 91% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 50% | 33% | 73% | 83% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 17% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 17% | 50% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Kostinbrod | Home | Away | Strumska Slava | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 67% | 67% | 55% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 17% | 17% | 27% | 17% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 17% | 0% | 18% | 0% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 33% | 33% | 45% | 50% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kostinbrod | Strumska Slava | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 18% |
| BTTS | 33% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 27% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kostinbrod | Strumska Slava | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 73% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +21 | 29 | |
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 22 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 22 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | +10 | 21 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 19 | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 | |
| 7 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 19 | |
| 8 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | +2 | 15 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +2 | 15 | |
| 11 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 15 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 13 | |
| 13 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 13 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 11 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 9 | |
| 17 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 | |
| 18 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Kostinbrod have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Kostinbrod have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Kostinbrod failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Kostinbrod have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Kostinbrod's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Strumska Slava have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Strumska Slava have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Strumska Slava have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Strumska Slava have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Strumska Slava have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●62% of Strumska Slava's goals have been scored at home.
- ●69% of Strumska Slava's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Strumska Slava's points have been earned at home.