Slivnishki geroy vs Septemvri Simitli — Third League - Southwest
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Slivnishki geroy and Septemvri Simitli meet in the Third League - Southwest 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Slivnishki geroy have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Septemvri Simitli have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.46 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Slivnishki geroy and 1.37 for Septemvri Simitli. The models give Slivnishki geroy a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Septemvri Simitli win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Slivnishki geroy—
Septemvri Simitli8º
Position
12º
1.42
PPG
1.18
42%
Win %
27%
1.50
Goals / game
1.36
1.58
Conceded / game
1.73
75%
BTTS %
62%
17%
Clean sheet %
31%
75%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Slivnishki geroy
Home (5)
—
Septemvri Simitli
Away (5)
1.40
PPG
1.40
40%
Win %
40%
1.20
Goals / game
1.60
1.40
Conceded / game
2.00
40%
BTTS %
71%
40%
Clean sheet %
29%
40%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Slivnishki geroy | Home | Away | Septemvri Simitli | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 80% | 100% | 85% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 40% | 71% | 46% | 33% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 17% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 20% | 0% | 15% | 33% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Slivnishki geroy | Home | Away | Septemvri Simitli | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 60% | 100% | 69% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 40% | 57% | 38% | 50% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 40% | 14% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 40% | 0% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Slivnishki geroy | Septemvri Simitli | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 15% |
| BTTS | 75% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Slivnishki geroy | Septemvri Simitli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 8% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 58% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 73% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 83% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 58% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 8% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
Slivnishki geroy (H)W
Natsional Sofia2–0
Natsional Sofia2–0D
CSKA Sofia III1–1
CSKA Sofia III1–1L
Kostinbrod0–3
Kostinbrod0–3W
Levski Sofia II1–0
Levski Sofia II1–0L
Botev Ihtiman2–3
Botev Ihtiman2–3L
Slavia Sofia II0–3
Slavia Sofia II0–3Septemvri Simitli (A)W
Strumska Slava2–1
Strumska Slava2–1L
Bansko1–3
Bansko1–3D
Pirin Razlog1–1
Pirin Razlog1–1L
Chavdar Etropole2–4
Chavdar Etropole2–4W
Balkan Botevgrad2–1
Balkan Botevgrad2–1W
Belasica3–0
Belasica3–0Head to Head · 11 matches
3
Slivnishki geroy
27%
4
Draws
36%
4
Septemvri Simitli
36%
73%
Over 1.5
8/11
45%
Over 2.5
5/11
18%
Over 3.5
2/11
64%
BTTS
7/11
29/11/25Slivnishki geroy
Septemvri Simitli
2–1Slivnishki geroy09/08/25Septemvri Simitli
Slivnishki geroy
0–0Septemvri Simitli15/03/25Septemvri Simitli
Slivnishki geroy
0–1Septemvri Simitli24/08/24Slivnishki geroy
Septemvri Simitli
1–3Slivnishki geroy24/02/24Slivnishki geroy
Septemvri Simitli
1–1Slivnishki geroy12/08/23Septemvri Simitli
Slivnishki geroy
2–1Septemvri Simitli06/05/23Septemvri Simitli
Slivnishki geroy
0–2Septemvri Simitli25/03/23Slivnishki geroy
Septemvri Simitli
0–1Slivnishki geroy09/11/19Slivnishki geroy
Septemvri Simitli
2–1Slivnishki geroy01/06/19Slivnishki geroy
Septemvri Simitli
2–2Slivnishki geroy24/11/18Septemvri Simitli
Slivnishki geroy
1–1Septemvri Simitli| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FK Minyor Pernik | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +21 | 29 |
| 2 |  Oborishte | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | Bansko | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 22 |
| 4 | Strumska Slava | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 |  Septemvri Sofia II | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 6 | Balkan Botevgrad | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | Kostinbrod | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 | Slivnishki geroy | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia II | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 | CSKA Sofia III | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 | Botev Ihtiman | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 | Septemvri Simitli | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Chavdar Etropole | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 13 |
| 14 | Levski Sofia II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 |  Belasitsa | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 |  Kyustendil | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 7 |
Team Insights
Slivnishki geroy- ●Slivnishki geroy have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Slivnishki geroy have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Slivnishki geroy failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Slivnishki geroy have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Slivnishki geroy failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Slivnishki geroy have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Slivnishki geroy have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of Slivnishki geroy's goals have been scored away.
- ●Slivnishki geroy have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Septemvri Simitli- ●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Slivnishki geroyWAPirin Razlog2–1
Pirin Razlog2–1WHNatsional Sofia2–0
Natsional Sofia2–0LAChavdar Etropole1–2
Chavdar Etropole1–2DHCSKA Sofia III1–1
CSKA Sofia III1–1DABalkan Botevgrad2–2
Balkan Botevgrad2–2LHKostinbrod0–3
Kostinbrod0–3–HFK Minyor Pernik24/10
FK Minyor Pernik24/10–ABansko28/10
Bansko28/10–HOborishte31/10
Oborishte31/10Septemvri SimitliDHBelasitsa1–1
Belasitsa1–1WAStrumska Slava2–1
Strumska Slava2–1LHOborishte1–3
Oborishte1–3LABansko1–3
Bansko1–3LHFK Minyor Pernik0–2
FK Minyor Pernik0–2DAPirin Razlog1–1
Pirin Razlog1–1–ABotev Ihtiman24/10
Botev Ihtiman24/10–HSlavia Sofia II28/10
Slavia Sofia II28/10–ALevski Sofia II31/10
Levski Sofia II31/10