Bansko vs Natsional Sofia — Third League - Southwest
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Bansko and Natsional Sofia meet in the Third League - Southwest 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Bansko have recorded 9 wins from 13 matches this season (69% win rate), averaging 2.08 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 77%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Natsional Sofia have won 13% of their 15 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.02 for Bansko and 1.24 for Natsional Sofia. The models give Bansko a 59% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Natsional Sofia win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Bansko—
Natsional Sofia2º
Position
17º
2.23
PPG
0.79
69%
Win %
14%
2.08
Goals / game
1.36
1.23
Conceded / game
1.93
46%
BTTS %
67%
38%
Clean sheet %
13%
77%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Bansko
Home (7)
—
Natsional Sofia
Away (8)
2.57
PPG
0.63
86%
Win %
13%
2.29
Goals / game
1.38
1.00
Conceded / game
2.13
43%
BTTS %
63%
43%
Clean sheet %
13%
71%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Bansko | Home | Away | Natsional Sofia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 86% | 83% | 73% | 86% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 69% | 71% | 67% | 47% | 43% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 46% | 57% | 33% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 14% | 17% | 27% | 14% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Bansko | Home | Away | Natsional Sofia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 57% | 67% | 87% | 86% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 14% | 50% | 67% | 71% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 14% | 33% | 40% | 29% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 43% | 33% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bansko | Natsional Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 20% |
| BTTS | 46% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 31% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 31% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bansko | Natsional Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 69% | 7% |
| Draw 1st Half | 15% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 53% |
| Scored 1st Half | 77% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 73% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 53% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Bansko (H)W
Slivnishki geroy2–0
Slivnishki geroy2–0W
Botev Ihtiman1–0
Botev Ihtiman1–0W
Septemvri Simitli3–1
Septemvri Simitli3–1L
Oborishte0–4
Oborishte0–4W
Belasitsa4–1
Belasitsa4–1W
Pirin Razlog3–1
Pirin Razlog3–1Natsional Sofia (A)L
Chavdar Etropole2–4
Chavdar Etropole2–4W
Balkan Botevgrad3–1
Balkan Botevgrad3–1LSlivnishki geroy0–2
Slivnishki geroy0–2D
Levski Sofia II0–0
Levski Sofia II0–0LBotev Ihtiman2–3
Botev Ihtiman2–3DSeptemvri Simitli3–3
Septemvri Simitli3–3Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Bansko
0%
1
Draws
100%
0
Natsional Sofia
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
08/08/26Bansko
Natsional Sofia
2–2Bansko| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FK Minyor Pernik | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | +27 | 36 |
| 2 | Bansko | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 | Oborishte | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Kostinbrod | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 | Balkan Botevgrad | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 22 |
| 6 |  Strumska Slava | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 21 |
| 7 |  Septemvri Sofia II | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 19 |
| 8 | Slivnishki geroy | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 19 |
| 9 | Belasitsa | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 |  CSKA Sofia III | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | +1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Slavia Sofia II | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 17 |
| 12 | Chavdar Etropole | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 17 |
| 13 | Botev Ihtiman | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Levski Sofia II | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 15 |  Kyustendil | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 16 | Septemvri Simitli | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -26 | 10 |
Team Insights
Bansko- ●Bansko have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Bansko have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Bansko have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Bansko have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Bansko have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Bansko have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Bansko have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Bansko have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Bansko have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Bansko have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Natsional Sofia- ●Natsional Sofia failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Natsional Sofia have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Natsional Sofia have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Natsional Sofia failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Natsional Sofia failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Natsional Sofia have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Natsional Sofia have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BanskoDAKostinbrod3–3
Kostinbrod3–3WHSlivnishki geroy2–0
Slivnishki geroy2–0WASeptemvri Sofia II1–0
Septemvri Sofia II1–0WHBotev Ihtiman1–0
Botev Ihtiman1–0WAKyustendil3–0
Kyustendil3–0WHSeptemvri Simitli3–1
Septemvri Simitli3–1–ASlavia Sofia II04/11
Slavia Sofia II04/11–HBalkan Botevgrad07/11
Balkan Botevgrad07/11–HLevski Sofia II11/11
Levski Sofia II11/11Natsional SofiaLAChavdar Etropole2–4
Chavdar Etropole2–4DHCSKA Sofia III2–2
CSKA Sofia III2–2WABalkan Botevgrad3–1
Balkan Botevgrad3–1LASlivnishki geroy0–2
Slivnishki geroy0–2LHSeptemvri Sofia II1–2
Septemvri Sofia II1–2DALevski Sofia II0–0
Levski Sofia II0–0–ABelasitsa07/11
Belasitsa07/11–HPirin Razlog14/11
Pirin Razlog14/11–HKostinbrod18/11
Kostinbrod18/11Top Scorers
BanskoNatsional Sofia1 ⚽