Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest · Southwest - 19

Septemvri Simitli

13º · 1.15 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 31d 0h

–

Balkan Botevgrad

4º · 1.57 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 31d 0h

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Septemvri Simitli and Balkan Botevgrad meet in the Third League - Southwest 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Septemvri Simitli have recorded 5 wins from 15 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.47 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Balkan Botevgrad have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 1.07 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 27%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 40%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.19 for Septemvri Simitli and 1.24 for Balkan Botevgrad. The models give Septemvri Simitli a 36% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Balkan Botevgrad win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 50%.

Season Statistics

Septemvri Simitli

—

Balkan Botevgrad

13º

Position

4º

1.15

PPG

1.57

23%

Win %

50%

1.38

Goals / game

1.14

1.69

Conceded / game

1.00

67%

BTTS %

27%

Clean sheet %

40%

53%

Over 2.5 %

40%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Septemvri Simitli

Home (7)

—

Balkan Botevgrad

Away (8)

1.00

PPG

1.50

14%

Win %

50%

1.14

Goals / game

1.13

1.43

Conceded / game

0.88

57%

BTTS %

13%

29%

Clean sheet %

38%

29%

Over 2.5 %

25%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Septemvri Simitli	Home	Away	Balkan Botevgrad	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	87%	71%	100%	67%	86%	50%
Over 1.5 Scored	47%	29%	63%	20%	14%	25%
Over 2.5 Scored	13%	14%	13%	7%	0%	13%
Failed To Score	13%	29%	0%	33%	14%	50%

Goals Conceded

	Septemvri Simitli	Home	Away	Balkan Botevgrad	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	73%	71%	75%	60%	57%	63%
Over 1.5 Conceded	40%	43%	38%	40%	57%	25%
Over 2.5 Conceded	27%	29%	25%	13%	29%	0%
Clean Sheets	27%	29%	25%	40%	43%	38%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Septemvri Simitli	Balkan Botevgrad
Over 0.5	93%	100%
Over 1.5	87%	53%
Over 2.5	53%	40%
Over 3.5	33%	20%
Over 4.5	13%	7%
BTTS	67%	27%
BTTS & Win	13%	7%
BTTS & Draw	33%	7%
BTTS & Over 2.5	47%	27%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	7%	13%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Septemvri Simitli	Balkan Botevgrad
Win 1st Half	23%	27%
Draw 1st Half	46%	47%
Loss 1st Half	31%	27%
Scored 1st Half	69%	33%
Conceded 1st Half	62%	33%
Win 2nd Half	31%	33%
Draw 2nd Half	38%	27%
Loss 2nd Half	31%	40%
Scored 2nd Half	54%	53%
Conceded 2nd Half	46%	53%
Over 0.5 HT	85%	60%
Over 1.5 HT	54%	27%

Recent Venue Form

Septemvri Simitli (H)

Slavia Sofia II1–1

Belasitsa1–1

Oborishte1–3

FK Minyor Pernik0–2

Natsional Sofia3–3

CSKA Sofia III0–0

Balkan Botevgrad (A)

Pirin Razlog5–0

Chavdar Etropole0–1

Belasitsa2–1

Kostinbrod1–0

Septemvri Sofia II0–2

Slavia Sofia II0–1

Head to Head · 12 matches

Septemvri Simitli

25%

Draws

33%

Balkan Botevgrad

42%

83%

Over 1.5

10/12

67%

Over 2.5

8/12

42%

Over 3.5

5/12

75%

BTTS

9/12

08/08/26

Balkan Botevgrad

1–2

Septemvri Simitli

24/04/26

Balkan Botevgrad

1–0

Septemvri Simitli

11/10/25

Septemvri Simitli

0–0

Balkan Botevgrad

03/05/25

Septemvri Simitli

4–3

Balkan Botevgrad

12/10/24

Balkan Botevgrad

2–1

Septemvri Simitli

06/06/24

Septemvri Simitli

2–2

Balkan Botevgrad

25/11/23

Balkan Botevgrad

3–2

Septemvri Simitli

20/05/23

Balkan Botevgrad

5–2

Septemvri Simitli

12/04/23

Septemvri Simitli

2–1

Balkan Botevgrad

19/08/19

Balkan Botevgrad

2–2

Septemvri Simitli

06/03/19

Balkan Botevgrad

1–1

Septemvri Simitli

11/08/18

Septemvri Simitli

0–2

Balkan Botevgrad

Third League - Southwest

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Minyor Pernik	14	10	3	1	+24	33
2	Bansko	12	9	1	2	+11	28
3	Oborishte	12	7	4	1	+13	25
4	Balkan Botevgrad	14	7	1	6	+2	22
5	Strumska Slava	12	6	3	3	+8	21
6	Kostinbrod	13	7	0	6	+7	21
7	Septemvri Sofia II	12	6	1	5	+1	19
8	Slivnishki geroy	14	5	3	6	-3	18
9	Slavia Sofia II	13	5	2	6	+2	17
10	CSKA Sofia III	13	3	8	2	+2	17
11	Botev Ihtiman	12	5	1	6	0	16
12	Belasitsa	14	4	3	7	-3	15
13	Septemvri Simitli	13	3	6	4	-4	15
14	Chavdar Etropole	14	4	2	8	-18	14
15	Levski Sofia II	13	3	4	6	-4	13
16	Kyustendil	12	3	4	5	-5	13
17	Natsional Sofia	13	2	5	6	-6	11
18	Pirin Razlog	14	2	1	11	-27	7

Team Insights

Septemvri Simitli

●Septemvri Simitli have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
●Septemvri Simitli have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
●Septemvri Simitli have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
●Septemvri Simitli have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
●Septemvri Simitli have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
●Septemvri Simitli have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.