Búzios vs Paduano — Carioca B2
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Búzios and Paduano meet in the Carioca B2 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Búzios have recorded 7 wins from 20 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Paduano have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.22 for Búzios and 1.63 for Paduano. The models give Búzios a 28% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Paduano win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Búzios
PaduanoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Búzios | Home | Away | Paduano | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 67% | 73% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 33% | 27% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 22% | 18% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 33% | 27% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Búzios | Home | Away | Paduano | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 78% | 64% | 63% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 56% | 45% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 22% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 22% | 36% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Búzios | Paduano | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS | 45% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Búzios | Paduano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 14% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Búzios (H)
Friburguense2–3
Paraty3–2
Serra Macaense0–2
Cardoso Moreira0–3
Barra Mansa3–0
EC Resende1–1Paduano (A)Friburguense0–1Paraty3–0Serra Macaense2–1Cardoso Moreira0–1
Niteroiense1–5
São Cristóvão RJ0–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Friburguense | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +9 | 20 |
| 2 | Cardoso Moreira | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |  Santa Cruz RJ | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 4 | Paduano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 | Serra Macaense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 |  SE Belford Roxo | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 7 |  Campos AA | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Rio de Janeiro | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  7 de Abril | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Barra Mansa | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | Búzios | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -14 | 3 |
| 12 | Paraty | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -22 | 0 |
Team Insights
Búzios- ●Búzios failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Búzios have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Búzios have lost their last 4 away matches.
Paduano- ●Paduano have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Paduano have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●64% of Paduano's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
BúziosFriburguense2–3Campos AA1–3Paraty3–2Barra Mansa0–1Serra Macaense0–2Santa Cruz RJ0–37 de Abril18/10Paduano25/10SE Belford Roxo01/11Paduano7 de Abril5–0Friburguense0–1Campos AA1–1Paraty3–0Barra Mansa2–2Serra Macaense2–1SE Belford Roxo18/10Búzios25/10Rio de Janeiro01/11Top Scorers
BúziosPaduanoCards Given
BúziosPaduano