Serra Macaense vs Paraty — Carioca B2
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Serra Macaense and Paraty meet in the Carioca B2 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Serra Macaense have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Paraty have won 0% of their 8 matches, with 0.63 goals scored and 3.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 88%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.88 for Serra Macaense and 1.18 for Paraty. The models give Serra Macaense a 59% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Paraty win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Serra MacaenseParatyHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Serra Macaense | Home | Away | Paraty | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 75% | 100% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 50% | 75% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Serra Macaense | Home | Away | Paraty | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 88% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Serra Macaense | Paraty | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 38% |
| BTTS | 63% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 38% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Serra Macaense | Paraty | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 75% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 13% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 88% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 100% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 63% |
Recent Venue Form
Serra Macaense (H)
Santa Cruz RJ3–0
Rio de Janeiro2–1
Paduano1–2
Friburguense0–1
Macaé2–1
Goytacaz1–0Paraty (A)
Cardoso Moreira1–6
Búzios2–3
7 de Abril0–1
Campos AA1–2Goytacaz2–3
Barra Mansa2–1Head to Head · 1 matches
Paraty| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Friburguense | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +9 | 20 |
| 2 | Cardoso Moreira | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 | Santa Cruz RJ | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 4 | Paduano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 | Serra Macaense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 |  SE Belford Roxo | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 7 | Campos AA | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rio de Janeiro | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 | 7 de Abril | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Barra Mansa | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | Búzios | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -14 | 3 |
| 12 | Paraty | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -22 | 0 |
Team Insights
Serra Macaense- ●Serra Macaense have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Paraty- ●Paraty have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Paraty have lost their last 8 matches.
- ●Paraty failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Paraty have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Paraty have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Paraty have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Paraty have lost their last 4 away matches.
Season Schedule
Serra MacaenseSE Belford Roxo1–1Santa Cruz RJ3–0Cardoso Moreira3–2Rio de Janeiro2–1Búzios2–0Paduano1–2Barra Mansa18/10Paraty25/10Campos AA01/11ParatyCardoso Moreira1–6Rio de Janeiro0–4Búzios2–3Paduano0–37 de Abril0–1Friburguense1–4Santa Cruz RJ19/10Serra Macaense25/10Barra Mansa01/11Top Scorers
Serra MacaenseParatyCards Given
Serra MacaenseParaty