Paraty vs Barra Mansa — Carioca B2
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Paraty and Barra Mansa meet in the Carioca B2 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Paraty have recorded 0 wins from 8 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.63 goals scored and 3.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 88%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Barra Mansa have won 26% of their 19 matches, with 0.79 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 21%, Over 2.5 at 32%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.08 for Paraty and 1.67 for Barra Mansa. The models give Paraty a 27% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Barra Mansa win at 46%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
ParatyBarra MansaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Paraty | Home | Away | Barra Mansa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 25% | 75% | 47% | 60% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 25% | 26% | 30% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 75% | 25% | 53% | 40% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Paraty | Home | Away | Barra Mansa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 53% | 50% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 88% | 100% | 75% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 75% | 100% | 50% | 11% | 10% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 47% | 50% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Paraty | Barra Mansa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 88% | 32% |
| Over 3.5 | 63% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 5% |
| BTTS | 50% | 21% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 21% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 38% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Paraty | Barra Mansa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 75% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 13% | 32% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 75% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 16% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 88% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 21% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 100% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 63% | 16% |
Recent Venue Form
Paraty (H)
Rio de Janeiro0–4
Paduano0–3
Friburguense1–4
SE Belford Roxo0–4
Santa Cruz RJ0–1
7 de Abril1–1Barra Mansa (A)Santa Cruz RJ0–1Rio de Janeiro0–2Paduano2–2Friburguense0–0
Búzios0–3
Uni Souza0–0Head to Head · 1 matches
Paraty| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Friburguense | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +9 | 20 |
| 2 |  Cardoso Moreira | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 | Santa Cruz RJ | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 4 | Paduano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 |  Serra Macaense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 | SE Belford Roxo | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 7 |  Campos AA | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rio de Janeiro | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 | 7 de Abril | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Barra Mansa | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | Búzios | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -14 | 3 |
| 12 | Paraty | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -22 | 0 |
Team Insights
Paraty- ●Paraty have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Paraty have lost their last 8 matches.
- ●Paraty failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Paraty have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Paraty have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Paraty have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Paraty have lost their last 4 away matches.
Barra Mansa- ●Barra Mansa have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Barra Mansa have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Barra Mansa have lost their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
ParatyCardoso Moreira1–6Rio de Janeiro0–4Búzios2–3Paduano0–37 de Abril0–1Friburguense1–4Santa Cruz RJ19/10Serra Macaense25/10Barra Mansa01/11Barra MansaSanta Cruz RJ0–1Cardoso Moreira0–0Rio de Janeiro0–2Búzios1–0Paduano2–27 de Abril1–4Serra Macaense18/10SE Belford Roxo25/10Paraty01/11Top Scorers
ParatyBarra MansaCards Given
ParatyBarra Mansa