Montalegre vs Maria da Fonte — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A
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Montalegre and Maria da Fonte meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Montalegre have recorded 2 wins from 6 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 17%; and clean sheets in 67% of games. Maria da Fonte have won 25% of their 8 matches, with 0.63 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.26 for Montalegre and 0.92 for Maria da Fonte. The models give Montalegre a 48% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Maria da Fonte win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 43%.
Season Statistics
MontalegreMaria da FonteHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Montalegre | Home | Away | Maria da | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 67% | 67% | 63% | 33% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 33% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 33% | 33% | 38% | 67% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Montalegre | Home | Away | Maria da | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 33% | 33% | 33% | 75% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 67% | 67% | 67% | 25% | 33% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Montalegre | Maria da | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 17% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS | 33% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 17% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Montalegre | Maria da | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 83% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 17% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 67% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 17% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 33% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Montalegre (H)
Maia Lidador1–1
Ponte da Barca0–0
Brito2–0
Os Limianos0–1
Vila Real0–0Brito0–0Maria da (A)Maia Lidador1–1
Paredes1–5Brito1–2
Vinhais1–0
Fafe0–2
Lajense1–0Head to Head · 4 matches
Maria da FonteMontalegreMontalegreMontalegre| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chaves II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  SC Braga B | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 11 |
| 3 | Os Limianos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 11 |
| 4 |  Bragança | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 |  Tirsense | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | Montalegre | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 7 |  Vila Meã | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 8 |
| 8 |  Celoricense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Rebordosa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 | Ponte da Barca | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 11 | Maria da Fonte | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 12 | Brito | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
| 13 | Maia Lidador | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 14 | Vinhais | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 0 |
Team Insights
Montalegre- ●Montalegre have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Montalegre have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Maria da- ●Maria da Fonte have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Maria da Fonte have conceded 75% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MontalegreBragança2–0Maia Lidador1–1SC Braga B2–2Brito2–0Celoricense0–0Ponte da Barca25/10Maria da Fonte01/11Tirsense08/11Maria daMaia Lidador1–1SC Braga B0–4Brito1–2Celoricense0–1Vinhais1–0Bragança25/10Montalegre01/11Ponte da Barca08/11Top Scorers
MontalegreMaria daCards Given
MontalegreMaria da