Maria da Fonte vs Ponte da Barca — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A
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Maria da Fonte and Ponte da Barca meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Maria da Fonte have recorded 2 wins from 10 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 0.60 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Ponte da Barca have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 0.78 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.00 for Maria da Fonte and 1.31 for Ponte da Barca. The models give Maria da Fonte a 30% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Ponte da Barca win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Maria da FontePonte da BarcaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Maria da | Home | Away | Ponte da | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 50% | 67% | 56% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 50% | 33% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Maria da | Home | Away | Ponte da | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 75% | 83% | 56% | 80% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 67% | 44% | 60% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 25% | 17% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% | 44% | 20% | 75% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Maria da | Ponte da | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 11% |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Maria da | Ponte da | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 10% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 22% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 30% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 11% |
Recent Venue Form
Maria da (H)
Bragança1–2
SC Braga B0–4
Uniao Nogueirense1–0
Celoricense0–1
Brito1–2
Arouca0–5Ponte da (A)
Montalegre1–0Bragança0–3Montalegre0–0
Maia Lidador1–0
Merelinense0–0
Estarreja1–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Os Limianos | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 | SC Braga B | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 3 | Bragança | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 4 | Montalegre | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |  Tirsense | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Chaves II | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 | Ponte da Barca | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Rebordosa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 9 |
| 9 | Celoricense | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Vila Meã | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 | Maia Lidador | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Brito | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 13 | Maria da Fonte | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 14 |  Vinhais | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -19 | 0 |
Team Insights
Maria da- ●Maria da Fonte have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Maria da Fonte failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Maria da Fonte have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Maria da Fonte have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Ponte da- ●Ponte da Barca have won their last 2 matches.
- ●67% of Ponte da Barca's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●60% of Ponte da Barca's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Maria daMontalegre0–2Bragança1–2Maia Lidador1–1SC Braga B0–4Brito1–2Celoricense0–1Ponte da Barca08/11Tirsense28/11Chaves II06/12Ponte daVinhais2–1Montalegre1–0Rebordosa0–0Bragança0–3Os Limianos2–3Maia Lidador1–0Maria da Fonte08/11Celoricense28/11Tirsense06/12Top Scorers
Maria daPonte daCards Given
Maria daPonte da