Maria da Fonte vs Tirsense — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A
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Maria da Fonte and Tirsense meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Maria da Fonte have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 0.82 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Tirsense have won 50% of their 10 matches, with 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.22 for Maria da Fonte and 1.44 for Tirsense. The models give Maria da Fonte a 31% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Tirsense win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Maria da FonteTirsenseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Maria da | Home | Away | Tirsense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 60% | 67% | 90% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 9% | 20% | 0% | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 20% | 0% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 40% | 33% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Maria da | Home | Away | Tirsense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 80% | 83% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 40% | 67% | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 20% | 17% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 20% | 17% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Maria da | Tirsense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 20% |
| BTTS | 45% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Maria da | Tirsense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 70% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 36% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Maria da (H)
Ponte da Barca3–1
Bragança1–2
SC Braga B0–4
Uniao Nogueirense1–0
Celoricense0–1
Brito1–2Tirsense (A)Bragança1–0SC Braga B2–3
Mafra2–2Celoricense1–2
Rebordosa1–0
Os Limianos0–0Head to Head · 2 matches
TirsenseMaria da Fonte| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Os Limianos | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 | SC Braga B | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 | Bragança | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 4 | Tirsense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Chaves II | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Montalegre | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 7 | Celoricense | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Maia Lidador | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Rebordosa | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 10 |
| 10 | Ponte da Barca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 |  Vila Meã | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 | Brito | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 13 | Maria da Fonte | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vinhais | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -21 | 0 |
Team Insights
Maria da- ●Maria da Fonte failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Maria da Fonte have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.
Tirsense- ●Tirsense have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Tirsense have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Tirsense have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Tirsense have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●67% of Tirsense's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Tirsense have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Tirsense have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Maria daPonte da Barca3–1Montalegre0–2Bragança1–2Maia Lidador1–1SC Braga B0–4Brito1–2Tirsense28/11Chaves II06/12Vila Meã13/12TirsenseMontalegre2–1Bragança1–0Maia Lidador3–5SC Braga B2–3Brito2–0Celoricense1–2Maria da Fonte28/11Ponte da Barca06/12Chaves II13/12Top Scorers
Maria daTirsenseCards Given
Maria daTirsense