Machico vs Florgrade — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
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Machico and Florgrade meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Machico have recorded 3 wins from 7 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 0.71 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Florgrade have won 40% of their 5 matches, with 0.80 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 20%, Over 2.5 at 0%, and clean sheets at 60%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.04 for Machico and 0.82 for Florgrade. The models give Machico a 42% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an Florgrade win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 28% and BTTS at 36%.
Season Statistics
Machico
FlorgradeHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Machico | Home | Away | Florgrade | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 50% | 80% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 50% | 60% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 50% | 20% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Machico | Home | Away | Florgrade | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 50% | 60% | 40% | 0% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 14% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 50% | 40% | 60% | 100% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Machico | Florgrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 71% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 57% | 20% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 0% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Machico | Florgrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 0% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 20% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
Machico (H)
Camacha2–2
Estrela Calheta0–0
Ribeira Brava1–0
Vilaverdense1–0
Bragança2–0
Brito1–0Florgrade (A)Camacha0–1
União Lamas1–1
Aparecida1–4
Salgueiros0–2
Anadia2–2União Lamas1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ovarense | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 12 |
| 2 | Machico | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 3 | Camacha | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 4 | Florgrade | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 5 | Salgueiros | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Sanjoanense | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 |  Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | União Lamas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 |  Cinfães | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Castro Daire | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 |  Beira-Mar | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 |  Alpendorada | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 |  Guarda | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Estrela Calheta | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 |  Sousense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Team Insights
Machico- ●Machico have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Machico have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●88% of Machico's points have been earned away.
Florgrade- ●Florgrade have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Florgrade have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●86% of Florgrade's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
MachicoAlpendorada2–1Salgueiros1–1Beira-Mar2–0Estrela Calheta0–0Salgueiros06/09Florgrade10/10Guarda25/10FlorgradeSanjoanense2–0Camacha0–1Guarda1–0União Lamas1–1Machico10/10Cinfães25/10Castro Daire01/11Top Scorers
MachicoFlorgradeCards Given
MachicoFlorgrade