Alpendorada vs Castro Daire — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
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Alpendorada and Castro Daire meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Alpendorada have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Castro Daire have won 33% of their 6 matches, with 0.83 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 17%, Over 2.5 at 17%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.05 for Alpendorada and 1.18 for Castro Daire. The models give Alpendorada a 35% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Castro Daire win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
AlpendoradaCastro DaireHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Alpendorada | Home | Away | Castro Daire | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 50% | 25% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 25% | 0% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 50% | 75% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Alpendorada | Home | Away | Castro Daire | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alpendorada | Castro Daire | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 17% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 17% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 0% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alpendorada | Castro Daire | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 75% | 17% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 13% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
Alpendorada (H)
Casa Pia0–1
Mação3–0
Machico1–2
Camacha1–2
Resende3–4
Beira-Mar0–1Castro Daire (A)Beira-Mar1–1
Sousense1–0
Leça0–1
Marítimo II1–5
Lusitânia Lourosa1–2
Salgueiros1–1Head to Head · 2 matches
Castro DaireAlpendorada| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ovarense | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 | Machico | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 | Camacha | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 | Castro Daire | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 5 |  Sanjoanense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 6 | Salgueiros | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 6 |  Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Florgrade | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Cinfães | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 9 |  União Lamas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 10 |  Estrela Calheta | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Beira-Mar | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Alpendorada | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 |  Guarda | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| 14 | Sousense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Team Insights
Alpendorada- ●Alpendorada have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
Castro Daire- ●Castro Daire have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Castro Daire have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Castro Daire have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
Season Schedule
AlpendoradaCinfães0–0Machico1–2Sanjoanense1–3Camacha1–2Guarda1–0Castro Daire25/10Ovarense01/11Sousense08/11Castro DaireSalgueiros0–0Estrela Calheta3–0Beira-Mar1–1Sousense1–0Ovarense0–2Alpendorada25/10Florgrade01/11Guarda08/11Top Scorers
AlpendoradaCastro DaireCards Given
AlpendoradaCastro Daire