Guarda vs Machico — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
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Guarda and Machico meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Guarda have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 29% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Machico have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 0.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.10 for Guarda and 1.30 for Machico. The models give Guarda a 30% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Machico win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Guarda
MachicoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Guarda | Home | Away | Machico | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 43% | 67% | 25% | 75% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 67% | 25% | 63% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 25% | 13% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 57% | 33% | 75% | 25% | 33% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Guarda | Home | Away | Machico | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 75% | 50% | 33% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 67% | 0% | 13% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 67% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Guarda | Machico | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 | 43% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 0% |
| BTTS | 29% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Guarda | Machico | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 14% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 71% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 14% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 14% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Guarda (H)
Chaves2–3
Camacha2–2
Alpendorada0–1
Régua1–1
Beira-Mar0–1Alpendorada0–1Machico (A)Alpendorada2–1
Salgueiros1–1Beira-Mar2–0
Maritimo0–0
Nacional2–1
Celoricense0–0Head to Head · 2 matches
GuardaMachico| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ovarense | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 | Machico | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 | Camacha | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |  Castro Daire | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 5 |  Sanjoanense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 6 | Salgueiros | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 6 |  Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Florgrade | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Cinfães | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 9 |  União Lamas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 10 |  Estrela Calheta | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Beira-Mar | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Alpendorada | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Guarda | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| 14 |  Sousense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Team Insights
Guarda- ●Guarda have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Guarda failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Guarda have lost their last 3 away matches.
Machico- ●Machico have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Machico have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Machico have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●64% of Machico's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
GuardaSanjoanense0–1Camacha2–2União Lamas0–1Florgrade0–1Alpendorada0–1Machico25/10Cinfães01/11Castro Daire08/11MachicoFlorgrade4–0Alpendorada2–1Salgueiros1–1Beira-Mar2–0Estrela Calheta0–0Guarda25/10Camacha01/11Sanjoanense08/11Top Scorers
GuardaMachico