Guarda vs Castro Daire — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
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Guarda and Castro Daire meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Guarda have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.22 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 22% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Castro Daire have won 25% of their 8 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 25%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.02 for Guarda and 1.25 for Castro Daire. The models give Guarda a 32% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Castro Daire win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
GuardaCastro DaireHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Guarda | Home | Away | Castro Daire | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 40% | 63% | 40% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 20% | 25% | 20% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 0% | 20% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 56% | 50% | 60% | 38% | 60% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Guarda | Home | Away | Castro Daire | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 100% | 60% | 63% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 50% | 0% | 25% | 20% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 0% | 40% | 38% | 40% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Guarda | Castro Daire | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 33% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 0% |
| BTTS | 22% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 22% | 13% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Guarda | Castro Daire | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 63% |
| Loss 1st Half | 67% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 11% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 63% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 11% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Guarda (H)
Machico0–1
Chaves2–3
Camacha2–2
Alpendorada0–1
Régua1–1
Beira-Mar0–1Castro Daire (A)Alpendorada2–2Beira-Mar1–1
Sousense1–0
Leça0–1
Marítimo II1–5
Lusitânia Lourosa1–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ovarense | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 | Machico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 | Camacha | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 4 |  Florgrade | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 |  Sanjoanense | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 6 | Castro Daire | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 |  Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Salgueiros | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |  União Lamas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Beira-Mar | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Cinfães | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Estrela Calheta | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Alpendorada | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Guarda | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Sousense | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
Team Insights
Guarda—
Castro Daire- ●Castro Daire have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Castro Daire have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Castro Daire have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
GuardaCinfães1–0Machico0–1Sanjoanense0–1Camacha2–2União Lamas0–1Florgrade0–1Castro Daire08/11Ovarense28/11Sousense06/12Castro DaireFlorgrade1–1Alpendorada2–2Salgueiros0–0Estrela Calheta3–0Beira-Mar1–1Sousense1–0Guarda08/11Camacha28/11Sanjoanense06/12Top Scorers
GuardaCastro DaireCards Given
GuardaCastro Daire