Estrela Calheta vs Alpendorada — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
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Estrela Calheta and Alpendorada meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Estrela Calheta have recorded 1 wins from 9 matches this season (11% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Alpendorada have won 20% of their 10 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.11 for Estrela Calheta and 1.29 for Alpendorada. The models give Estrela Calheta a 36% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Alpendorada win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Estrela CalhetaAlpendoradaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Estrela Calheta | Home | Away | Alpendorada | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 80% | 50% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 20% | 25% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 0% | 25% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 20% | 50% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Estrela Calheta | Home | Away | Alpendorada | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 100% | 75% | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 80% | 25% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 40% | 25% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 0% | 25% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Estrela Calheta | Alpendorada | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 67% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Estrela Calheta | Alpendorada | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 63% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 13% | 80% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 75% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 10% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 30% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 70% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Estrela Calheta (H)
Beira-Mar1–1
União Lamas1–2
Cinfães2–2
Vianense1–3
Ovarense0–3Alpendorada (A)Ovarense1–2Cinfães0–0
Sanjoanense1–3
Rebordosa2–2
Guarda1–0
Salgueiros2–0Head to Head · 1 matches
Estrela Calheta| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ovarense | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |  Machico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 |  Camacha | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 4 |  Florgrade | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 | Sanjoanense | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 6 |  Castro Daire | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 |  Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Salgueiros | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | União Lamas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Beira-Mar | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Cinfães | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Estrela Calheta | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Alpendorada | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Guarda | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 |  Sousense | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
Team Insights
Estrela Calheta- ●Estrela Calheta failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Estrela Calheta have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of Estrela Calheta's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Estrela Calheta's points have been earned away.
Alpendorada- ●Alpendorada have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
Season Schedule
Estrela CalhetaBeira-Mar1–1União Lamas1–2Sousense3–1Castro Daire0–3Cinfães2–2Ovarense0–3Salgueiros08/11Alpendorada28/11Florgrade06/12AlpendoradaOvarense1–2Castro Daire2–2Cinfães0–0Machico1–2Sanjoanense1–3Camacha1–2Sousense22/11Estrela Calheta28/11Beira-Mar06/12Top Scorers
Estrela CalhetaAlpendoradaCards Given
Estrela CalhetaAlpendorada