Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · Group B - 9

Ovarense

1º · 2.71 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 27d 0h

–

Guarda

13º · 0.57 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 27d 0h

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Ovarense and Guarda meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Ovarense have recorded 6 wins from 8 matches this season (75% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 63% of games. Guarda have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 1.22 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 22%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 22%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.19 for Ovarense and 0.86 for Guarda. The models give Ovarense a 50% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Guarda win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33% and BTTS at 40%.

Season Statistics

Ovarense

—

Guarda

1º

Position

13º

2.71

PPG

0.57

86%

Win %

14%

2.00

Goals / game

0.43

Conceded / game

1.00

25%

BTTS %

22%

63%

Clean sheet %

22%

38%

Over 2.5 %

33%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Ovarense

Home (4)

—

Guarda

Away (4)

2.50

PPG

0.75

75%

Win %

25%

1.75

Goals / game

0.25

0.75

Conceded / game

0.75

40%

BTTS %

40%

Clean sheet %

40%

Over 2.5 %

20%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Ovarense	Home	Away	Guarda	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	88%	80%	100%	44%	50%	40%
Over 1.5 Scored	75%	60%	100%	33%	50%	20%
Over 2.5 Scored	13%	0%	33%	11%	0%	20%
Failed To Score	13%	20%	0%	56%	50%	60%

Goals Conceded

	Ovarense	Home	Away	Guarda	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	38%	60%	0%	78%	100%	60%
Over 1.5 Conceded	13%	20%	0%	22%	50%	0%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	11%	25%	0%
Clean Sheets	63%	40%	100%	22%	0%	40%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Ovarense	Guarda
Over 0.5	100%	100%
Over 1.5	75%	33%
Over 2.5	38%	33%
Over 3.5	13%	33%
Over 4.5	0%	22%
BTTS	25%	22%
BTTS & Win	13%	0%
BTTS & Draw	13%	11%
BTTS & Over 2.5	25%	22%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	13%	11%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Ovarense	Guarda
Win 1st Half	50%	11%
Draw 1st Half	25%	22%
Loss 1st Half	25%	67%
Scored 1st Half	63%	11%
Conceded 1st Half	38%	67%
Win 2nd Half	63%	44%
Draw 2nd Half	38%	44%
Loss 2nd Half	0%	11%
Scored 2nd Half	63%	44%
Conceded 2nd Half	13%	11%
Over 0.5 HT	88%	78%
Over 1.5 HT	25%	33%

Recent Venue Form

Ovarense (H)

Alpendorada2–1

Beira-Mar2–2

Os Marialvas0–1

Sousense2–0

União Lamas1–0

SC Covilha2–2

Guarda (A)

Cinfães1–0

Sanjoanense0–1

União Lamas0–1

Académico do Fundão6–0

Florgrade0–1

Leça2–6

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ovarense	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	Machico	7	4	3	0	+8	15
3	Camacha	7	4	3	0	+6	15
4	Florgrade	7	3	2	2	0	11
5	Sanjoanense	7	3	2	2	+1	11
6	Castro Daire	7	2	4	1	+2	10
6	Estrela	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Salgueiros	7	1	5	1	-1	8
8	União Lamas	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Beira-Mar	7	0	6	1	-2	6
10	Cinfães	7	1	3	3	-2	6
11	Estrela Calheta	7	1	3	3	-5	6
12	Alpendorada	7	1	2	4	-4	5
13	Guarda	7	1	1	5	-4	4
14	Sousense	7	0	3	4	-7	3

Team Insights

Ovarense

●Ovarense have won their last 2 matches.
●Ovarense have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
●Ovarense have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
●Ovarense have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
●Ovarense have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
●Ovarense have won their last 3 away matches.
●Ovarense have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
●Ovarense have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.