Florgrade vs Estrela Calheta — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
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Florgrade and Estrela Calheta meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Florgrade have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 0.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 30% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 20%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Estrela Calheta have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Florgrade and 0.85 for Estrela Calheta. The models give Florgrade a 51% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Estrela Calheta win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 42%.
Season Statistics
FlorgradeEstrela CalhetaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Florgrade | Home | Away | Estrela Calheta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 80% | 60% | 67% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 40% | 0% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 20% | 40% | 33% | 20% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Florgrade | Home | Away | Estrela Calheta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 20% | 80% | 89% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 20% | 20% | 56% | 80% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 80% | 20% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Florgrade | Estrela Calheta | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 30% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 10% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Florgrade | Estrela Calheta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 63% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 13% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Florgrade (H)
Cinfães2–0
Portimonense1–2
Sanjoanense2–0
São João Ver0–0
Guarda1–0
Rebordosa2–1Estrela Calheta (A)
Sousense3–1
Castro Daire0–3
Machico0–0
Maritimo1–1
Alpendorada1–7| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ovarense | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 | Machico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 |  Camacha | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 4 | Florgrade | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 | Sanjoanense | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 6 | Castro Daire | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 |  Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Salgueiros | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |  União Lamas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 |  Beira-Mar | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Cinfães | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Estrela Calheta | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Alpendorada | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Guarda | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Sousense | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
Team Insights
Florgrade- ●Florgrade have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Florgrade have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●82% of Florgrade's points have been earned at home.
Estrela Calheta- ●Estrela Calheta failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Estrela Calheta have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of Estrela Calheta's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Estrela Calheta's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
FlorgradeCastro Daire1–1Cinfães2–0Machico0–4Sanjoanense2–0Camacha0–1Guarda1–0Ovarense08/11Sousense28/11Estrela Calheta06/12Estrela CalhetaBeira-Mar1–1União Lamas1–2Sousense3–1Castro Daire0–3Cinfães2–2Ovarense0–3Salgueiros08/11Alpendorada28/11Florgrade06/12Top Scorers
FlorgradeEstrela CalhetaCards Given
FlorgradeEstrela Calheta