Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · Group B - 11

Castro Daire

6º · 1.43 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 41d 20h

–

Machico

2º · 2.14 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 41d 20h

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Castro Daire and Machico meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Castro Daire have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Machico have won 50% of their 10 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 60%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.95 for Castro Daire and 1.08 for Machico. The models give Castro Daire a 33% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an Machico win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33% and BTTS at 41%.

Season Statistics

Castro Daire

—

Machico

6º

Position

2º

1.43

PPG

2.14

29%

Win %

57%

1.14

Goals / game

1.43

0.86

Conceded / game

0.29

38%

BTTS %

40%

38%

Clean sheet %

60%

25%

Over 2.5 %

40%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Castro Daire

Home (4)

—

Machico

Away (4)

1.25

PPG

2.50

25%

Win %

75%

1.00

Goals / game

1.50

0.75

Conceded / game

0.50

20%

BTTS %

50%

40%

Clean sheet %

50%

20%

Over 2.5 %

33%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Castro Daire	Home	Away	Machico	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	63%	40%	100%	70%	50%	83%
Over 1.5 Scored	25%	20%	33%	50%	50%	50%
Over 2.5 Scored	13%	20%	0%	10%	25%	0%
Failed To Score	38%	60%	0%	30%	50%	17%

Goals Conceded

	Castro Daire	Home	Away	Machico	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	63%	60%	67%	40%	25%	50%
Over 1.5 Conceded	25%	20%	33%	10%	25%	0%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Clean Sheets	38%	40%	33%	60%	75%	50%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Castro Daire	Machico
Over 0.5	88%	70%
Over 1.5	63%	60%
Over 2.5	25%	40%
Over 3.5	13%	20%
Over 4.5	0%	0%
BTTS	38%	40%
BTTS & Win	0%	20%
BTTS & Draw	38%	20%
BTTS & Over 2.5	13%	30%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	13%	10%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Castro Daire	Machico
Win 1st Half	13%	44%
Draw 1st Half	63%	33%
Loss 1st Half	25%	22%
Scored 1st Half	25%	44%
Conceded 1st Half	38%	22%
Win 2nd Half	25%	44%
Draw 2nd Half	63%	44%
Loss 2nd Half	13%	11%
Scored 2nd Half	63%	44%
Conceded 2nd Half	50%	22%
Over 0.5 HT	50%	67%
Over 1.5 HT	25%	11%

Recent Venue Form

Castro Daire (H)

Florgrade1–1

Salgueiros0–0

Estrela Calheta3–0

Portimonense0–1

Ovarense0–2

Anadia1–2

Machico (A)

Guarda1–0

Alpendorada2–1

Salgueiros1–1

Beira-Mar2–0

Maritimo0–0

Nacional2–1

Head to Head · 2 matches

Castro Daire

Draws

50%

Machico

50%

Over 1.5

1/2

50%

Over 2.5

1/2

50%

Over 3.5

1/2

50%

BTTS

1/2

15/01/23

Castro Daire

0–1

Machico

18/09/22

Machico

2–2

Castro Daire

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ovarense	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	Machico	7	4	3	0	+8	15
3	Camacha	7	4	3	0	+6	15
4	Florgrade	7	3	2	2	0	11
5	Sanjoanense	7	3	2	2	+1	11
6	Castro Daire	7	2	4	1	+2	10
6	Estrela	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Salgueiros	7	1	5	1	-1	8
8	União Lamas	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Beira-Mar	7	0	6	1	-2	6
10	Cinfães	7	1	3	3	-2	6
11	Estrela Calheta	7	1	3	3	-5	6
12	Alpendorada	7	1	2	4	-4	5
13	Guarda	7	1	1	5	-4	4
14	Sousense	7	0	3	4	-7	3