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Mortágua vs Benfica Castelo Branco — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C

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Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Group C - 5
Mortágua
Mortágua
1º · 2.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 0h
vs
–
–
Benfica Castelo Branco
Benfica Castelo Branco
8º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 0h
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Mortágua and Benfica Castelo Branco meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 11 October 2026. Mortágua have recorded 3 wins from 6 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Benfica Castelo Branco have won 40% of their 5 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 20%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Mortágua and 1.38 for Benfica Castelo Branco. The models give Mortágua a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Benfica Castelo Branco win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 58%.

Season Statistics

Mortágua
—
Benfica Castelo Branco
1º
Position
8º
2.50
PPG
1.50
75%
Win %
50%
2.25
Goals / game
1.75
1.00
Conceded / game
2.25
67%
BTTS %
80%
17%
Clean sheet %
20%
50%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Mortágua
Home (2)
—
Benfica Castelo Branco
Away (2)
3.00
PPG
3.00
100%
Win %
100%
2.50
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Clean sheet %
33%
67%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

MortáguaHomeAwayBenfica CasteloHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored67%67%67%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Scored50%67%33%40%50%33%
Over 2.5 Scored33%33%33%20%0%33%
Failed To Score33%33%33%0%0%0%

Goals Conceded

MortáguaHomeAwayBenfica CasteloHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded83%100%67%80%100%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded17%33%0%80%100%67%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%60%100%33%
Clean Sheets17%0%33%20%0%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

MortáguaBenfica Castelo
Over 0.583%100%
Over 1.583%80%
Over 2.550%80%
Over 3.533%80%
Over 4.50%60%
BTTS67%80%
BTTS & Win50%20%
BTTS & Draw17%0%
BTTS & Over 2.550%80%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

MortáguaBenfica Castelo
Win 1st Half33%0%
Draw 1st Half50%60%
Loss 1st Half17%40%
Scored 1st Half50%60%
Conceded 1st Half33%80%
Win 2nd Half33%40%
Draw 2nd Half33%20%
Loss 2nd Half33%40%
Scored 2nd Half50%80%
Conceded 2nd Half67%80%
Over 0.5 HT67%80%
Over 1.5 HT33%60%

Recent Venue Form

Mortágua (H)
LLeça0–2
WFazendense2–1
WNazarenos3–1
WEléctrico2–1
LOs Marialvas0–2
WMarinhense1–0
Benfica Castelo (A)
WFC Alverca II1–0
LFátima1–3
WOliveira Hospital3–2
LFátima1–4
WPeniche2–0
DVitória de Sernache0–0

Head to Head · 10 matches

0
Mortágua
0%
7
Draws
70%
3
Benfica Castelo
30%
70%
Over 1.5
7/10
30%
Over 2.5
3/10
20%
Over 3.5
2/10
60%
BTTS
6/10
10/01/26
Benfica Castelo Branco
3–1
Mortágua
10/08/25
Mortágua
1–1
Benfica Castelo Branco
16/02/25
Benfica Castelo Branco
1–1
Mortágua
06/10/24
Mortágua
0–0
Benfica Castelo Branco
21/01/24
Benfica Castelo Branco
2–0
Mortágua
03/09/23
Mortágua
1–2
Benfica Castelo Branco
12/03/23
Mortágua
2–2
Benfica Castelo Branco
27/11/22
Benfica Castelo Branco
0–0
Mortágua
21/02/21
Mortágua
1–1
Benfica Castelo Branco
13/12/20
Benfica Castelo Branco
0–0
Mortágua
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Mortágua4310+510
2Oliveira Hospital4301+29
3Os Marialvas4301+69
4UD da Serra4220+28
5O Elvas3210+27
6Naval 18934202+26
7AD Nogueirense4130+16
8Benfica Castelo Branco4202-26
9Fátima4112+14
10Atlético Malveira4112-34
11Sertanense3021-22
12Fazendense3012-21
13FC Alverca II3003-30
14Nazarenos4004-90

Team Insights

Mortágua
  • ●Mortágua have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Mortágua have won their last 2 home matches.
Benfica Castelo
  • ●Benfica Castelo Branco have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●78% of Benfica Castelo Branco's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●100% of Benfica Castelo Branco's points have been earned away.
MortáguaMortágua
LHLeça0–2
DAUD da Serra4º1–1
WHFazendense12º2–1
DASC Covilha0–0
WASertanense11º3–1
WHNazarenos14º3–1
WHEléctrico2–1
LAVitória de Sernache0–1
LHOs Marialvas0–2
WHMarinhense1–0
Benfica Castelo BrancoBenfica Castelo Branco
LHAD Nogueirense7º2–3
WAFC Alverca II13º1–0
LAFátima1–3
LHNaval 18936º1–4
WAOliveira Hospital2º3–2
LAFátima1–4
LHSamora Correir1–2
WAPeniche2–0
DAVitória de Sernache0–0
DHOliveira Hospital1–1

Season Schedule

Mortágua
DAUD da Serra1–1
WHFazendense2–1
WASertanense3–1
WHNazarenos3–1
–HBenfica Castelo Branco11/10
–ANaval 189325/10
–HFC Alverca II01/11
Benfica Castelo
LHAD Nogueirense2–3
WAFC Alverca II1–0
LHNaval 18931–4
WAOliveira Hospital3–2
–AMortágua11/10
–HO Elvas25/10
–AAtlético Malveira01/11

Top Scorers

Mortágua
6 ⚽
J. Pais3 ⚽
Benfica Castelo
8 ⚽

Cards Given

Mortágua
Benfica Castelo
1 🟨