Fazendense vs Os Marialvas — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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Fazendense and Os Marialvas meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Fazendense have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 88%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Os Marialvas have won 56% of their 9 matches, with 1.56 goals scored and 0.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 22%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 78%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.35 for Fazendense and 1.59 for Os Marialvas. The models give Fazendense a 32% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Os Marialvas win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
FazendenseOs MarialvasHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Fazendense | Home | Away | Os Marialvas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 100% | 67% | 78% | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 40% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 40% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 33% | 22% | 33% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Fazendense | Home | Away | Os Marialvas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 80% | 100% | 22% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 75% | 60% | 100% | 22% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 20% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 20% | 0% | 78% | 67% | 83% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fazendense | Os Marialvas | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 88% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 0% |
| BTTS | 75% | 22% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 75% | 22% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fazendense | Os Marialvas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 63% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 13% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 75% | 22% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 56% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 88% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 11% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Fazendense (H)
Estrela1–2
Ginásio Figueirense6–1
O Elvas1–2
Mocarriense1–0
AD Nogueirense3–3
Mirandela1–2Os Marialvas (A)
Chaves1–2
Ovarense1–0
Nazarenos3–0
AD Fornos Algodres4–0
Atlético Malveira1–0
União Lamas0–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 |  UD da Serra | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 | Os Marialvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 4 |  Mortágua | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | O Elvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Benfica Castelo Branco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 | AD Nogueirense | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Atlético Malveira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Fátima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 |  FC Alverca II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |  Sertanense | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Team Insights
Fazendense- ●Fazendense have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Fazendense have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Fazendense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Fazendense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Fazendense have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Fazendense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●67% of Fazendense's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Fazendense have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Os Marialvas- ●Os Marialvas have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Os Marialvas have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Os Marialvas have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Os Marialvas have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Os Marialvas have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●60% of Os Marialvas's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
FazendenseAtlético Malveira1–3FC Alverca II0–5O Elvas1–2Mortágua1–2AD Nogueirense3–3Os Marialvas25/10Fátima01/11Nazarenos08/11Os MarialvasSertanense0–0Nazarenos3–0Fátima3–0Oliveira Hospital1–2Atlético Malveira1–0Fazendense25/10UD da Serra01/11Benfica Castelo Branco08/11Top Scorers
FazendenseOs MarialvasCards Given
FazendenseOs Marialvas