Naval 1893 vs Mortágua — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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Naval 1893 and Mortágua meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Naval 1893 have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Mortágua have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.30 for Naval 1893 and 1.26 for Mortágua. The models give Naval 1893 a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Mortágua win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Naval 1893MortáguaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Naval 1893 | Home | Away | Mortágua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 67% | 40% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 0% | 40% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 0% | 40% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 33% | 60% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Naval 1893 | Home | Away | Mortágua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 67% | 80% | 86% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 67% | 20% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 33% | 20% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Naval 1893 | Mortágua | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS | 38% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 43% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Naval 1893 | Mortágua | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 75% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 38% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Naval 1893 (H)
Felgueiras 19320–2
FC Alverca II1–0
UD da Serra1–2
Vitória de Sernache2–0
Lajense2–1Mortágua2–0Mortágua (A)UD da Serra1–1
SC Covilha0–0
Sertanense3–1Vitória de Sernache0–1Naval 18930–2
Samora Correir0–1Head to Head · 2 matches
MortáguaNaval 1893| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | UD da Serra | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 |  Os Marialvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 4 | Mortágua | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  O Elvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Benfica Castelo Branco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 |  AD Nogueirense | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Atlético Malveira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Fátima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Alverca II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 |  Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 |  Fazendense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Team Insights
Naval 1893- ●Naval 1893 have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
Mortágua- ●Mortágua failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
Season Schedule
Naval 1893AD Nogueirense0–0FC Alverca II1–0Oliveira Hospital0–1Benfica Castelo Branco4–1UD da Serra1–2Mortágua25/10O Elvas01/11Atlético Malveira08/11MortáguaBenfica Castelo Branco0–1UD da Serra1–1Fazendense2–1Sertanense3–1Nazarenos3–1Naval 189325/10FC Alverca II01/11AD Nogueirense08/11Top Scorers
Naval 1893Mortágua