Sertanense vs Fátima — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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Sertanense and Fátima meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Sertanense have recorded 0 wins from 6 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.50 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 17%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Fátima have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 1.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Sertanense and 1.24 for Fátima. The models give Sertanense a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Fátima win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
SertanenseFátimaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sertanense | Home | Away | Fátima | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 100% | 25% | 75% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 0% | 75% | 25% | 17% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Sertanense | Home | Away | Fátima | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 100% | 75% | 75% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 50% | 0% | 25% | 17% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sertanense | Fátima | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 17% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 25% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 17% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sertanense | Fátima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 63% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 0% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Sertanense (H)
Atlético Malveira1–1
Mortágua1–3
Alcains3–1Mortágua0–2
O Elvas0–0
Pêro Pinheiro1–0Fátima (A)
Os Marialvas0–3O Elvas1–1
Eléctrico3–0Os Marialvas0–2Mortágua1–0
Peniche1–1Head to Head · 4 matches
SertanenseFátimaFátimaSertanense| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 |  UD da Serra | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 | Os Marialvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 4 | Mortágua | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | O Elvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Benfica Castelo Branco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 |  AD Nogueirense | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Atlético Malveira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Fátima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 |  FC Alverca II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 |  Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 |  Fazendense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Team Insights
Sertanense- ●Sertanense have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
Fátima- ●Fátima have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Fátima have lost their last 3 matches.
Season Schedule
SertanenseOs Marialvas0–0O Elvas0–2Atlético Malveira1–1Mortágua1–3AD Nogueirense1–1Fátima25/10Nazarenos01/11Oliveira Hospital08/11FátimaNazarenos1–3Oliveira Hospital0–1Os Marialvas0–3Atlético Malveira5–0O Elvas1–1Sertanense25/10Fazendense01/11UD da Serra08/11Top Scorers
SertanenseFátimaCards Given
SertanenseFátima