UD da Serra vs Atlético Malveira — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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UD da Serra and Atlético Malveira meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 25 October 2026. UD da Serra have recorded 5 wins from 8 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 2.25 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 88% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Atlético Malveira have won 33% of their 6 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for UD da Serra and 1.07 for Atlético Malveira. The models give UD da Serra a 55% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Atlético Malveira win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
UD da SerraAtlético MalveiraHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| UD da | Home | Away | Atlético Malveira | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 67% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 67% | 60% | 50% | 75% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 25% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| UD da | Home | Away | Atlético Malveira | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 67% | 100% | 83% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 33% | 0% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| UD da | Atlético Malveira | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 33% |
| BTTS | 88% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 50% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| UD da | Atlético Malveira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 75% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
UD da (H)
Mortágua1–1
Uniao de Pombal5–0
FC Alverca II2–1
Peniche3–1
Marinhense1–0
Benfica Castelo Branco2–0Atlético Malveira (A)
Sertanense1–1
Fátima0–5
Oliveira Hospital1–1
Louletano1–1
Vitória de Sernache0–0Louletano2–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | UD da Serra | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 |  Os Marialvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 4 | Mortágua | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  O Elvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 |  AD Nogueirense | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Atlético Malveira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Fátima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Alverca II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 |  Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 |  Fazendense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Team Insights
UD da- ●UD da Serra have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●UD da Serra failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●UD da Serra have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●UD da Serra have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●62% of UD da Serra's goals have been scored away.
- ●64% of UD da Serra's points have been earned away.
Atlético Malveira- ●Atlético Malveira have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Atlético Malveira have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●75% of Atlético Malveira's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Atlético Malveira's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
UD daO Elvas2–1Mortágua1–1AD Nogueirense1–1FC Alverca II2–1Naval 18932–1Atlético Malveira25/10Os Marialvas01/11Fátima08/11Atlético MalveiraFazendense3–1Sertanense1–1Nazarenos3–0Fátima0–5Os Marialvas0–1UD da Serra25/10Benfica Castelo Branco01/11Naval 189308/11Top Scorers
UD daAtlético MalveiraCards Given
UD daAtlético Malveira