Atlético Malveira vs Benfica Castelo Branco — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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Atlético Malveira and Benfica Castelo Branco meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Atlético Malveira have recorded 2 wins from 6 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Benfica Castelo Branco have won 50% of their 6 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for Atlético Malveira and 1.24 for Benfica Castelo Branco. The models give Atlético Malveira a 39% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Benfica Castelo Branco win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Atlético MalveiraBenfica Castelo BrancoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Atlético Malveira | Home | Away | Benfica Castelo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 75% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 75% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Atlético Malveira | Home | Away | Benfica Castelo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 75% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 25% | 50% | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 25% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atlético Malveira | Benfica Castelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 50% |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 33% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atlético Malveira | Benfica Castelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 83% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Atlético Malveira (H)
Fazendense3–1
Nazarenos3–0
Mafra2–3
Os Marialvas0–1
Vitória de Sernache0–3
Oliveira Hospital0–2Benfica Castelo (A)
Mortágua1–0
FC Alverca II1–0
Fátima1–3Oliveira Hospital3–2Fátima1–4
Peniche2–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 |  UD da Serra | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 | Os Marialvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 4 | Mortágua | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  O Elvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 |  AD Nogueirense | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Atlético Malveira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Fátima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Alverca II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |  Sertanense | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Team Insights
Atlético Malveira- ●Atlético Malveira have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Atlético Malveira have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●75% of Atlético Malveira's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Atlético Malveira's points have been earned at home.
Benfica Castelo- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●62% of Benfica Castelo Branco's goals have been scored away.
- ●78% of Benfica Castelo Branco's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●100% of Benfica Castelo Branco's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Atlético MalveiraFazendense3–1Sertanense1–1Nazarenos3–0Fátima0–5Os Marialvas0–1UD da Serra25/10Benfica Castelo Branco01/11Naval 189308/11Benfica CasteloMortágua1–0AD Nogueirense2–3FC Alverca II1–0Naval 18931–4Oliveira Hospital3–2O Elvas25/10Atlético Malveira01/11Os Marialvas08/11Top Scorers
Atlético MalveiraBenfica CasteloCards Given
Atlético MalveiraBenfica Castelo