Mortágua vs FC Alverca II — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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Mortágua and FC Alverca II meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Mortágua have recorded 3 wins from 7 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. FC Alverca II have won 20% of their 5 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for Mortágua and 1.11 for FC Alverca II. The models give Mortágua a 50% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an FC Alverca II win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
MortáguaFC Alverca IIHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Mortágua | Home | Away | FC Alverca | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 50% | 67% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 50% | 33% | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 25% | 33% | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 50% | 33% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Mortágua | Home | Away | FC Alverca | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 67% | 80% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 14% | 25% | 0% | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 33% | 20% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mortágua | FC Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS | 57% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 43% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mortágua | FC Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 20% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Mortágua (H)
Benfica Castelo Branco0–1
Leça0–2
Fazendense2–1
Nazarenos3–1
Eléctrico2–1
Os Marialvas0–2FC Alverca (A)
Oliveira Hospital1–3
Naval 18930–1
UD da Serra1–2
FC Serpa1–0
Oriental Lisboa2–1
Juventude Évora1–1Head to Head · 4 matches
FC Alverca IIMortáguaMortáguaFC Alverca II| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | UD da Serra | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 | Os Marialvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 4 | Mortágua | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  O Elvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 |  AD Nogueirense | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Atlético Malveira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Fátima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Alverca II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |  Sertanense | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Team Insights
Mortágua- ●Mortágua failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
FC Alverca- ●FC Alverca II have lost their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
MortáguaBenfica Castelo Branco0–1UD da Serra1–1Fazendense2–1Sertanense3–1Nazarenos3–1Naval 189325/10FC Alverca II01/11AD Nogueirense08/11FC AlvercaOliveira Hospital1–3Fazendense5–0Naval 18930–1Benfica Castelo Branco0–1UD da Serra1–2AD Nogueirense25/10Mortágua01/11O Elvas08/11Top Scorers
MortáguaFC AlvercaCards Given
MortáguaFC Alverca