AD Nogueirense vs Mortágua — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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AD Nogueirense and Mortágua meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 8 November 2026. AD Nogueirense have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Mortágua have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.07 for AD Nogueirense and 1.29 for Mortágua. The models give AD Nogueirense a 32% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Mortágua win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
AD NogueirenseMortáguaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| AD Nogueirense | Home | Away | Mortágua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 75% | 67% | 63% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 0% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 0% | 67% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 25% | 33% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| AD Nogueirense | Home | Away | Mortágua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 75% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 25% | 100% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 43% | 25% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AD Nogueirense | Mortágua | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 0% |
| BTTS | 71% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 43% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AD Nogueirense | Mortágua | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 57% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 71% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
AD Nogueirense (H)
Naval 18930–0
UD da Serra1–1Naval 18931–3
Sertanense1–1
Gafanha0–1Mortágua (A)Naval 18932–0UD da Serra1–1
SC Covilha0–0Sertanense3–1
Vitória de Sernache0–1Naval 18930–2Head to Head · 1 matches
AD Nogueirense| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oliveira Hospital | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 | Mortágua | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  O Elvas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Os Marialvas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | UD da Serra | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Benfica Castelo Branco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Atlético Malveira | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Naval 1893 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | AD Nogueirense | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 |  FC Alverca II | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 11 |  Fátima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 |  Nazarenos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 |  Fazendense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 1 |
Team Insights
AD Nogueirense- ●AD Nogueirense have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●AD Nogueirense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●75% of AD Nogueirense's goals have been scored away.
- ●80% of AD Nogueirense's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●AD Nogueirense have scored 88% of their goals in the first half.
Mortágua- ●Mortágua have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
AD NogueirenseFC Alverca II0–3Naval 18930–0Benfica Castelo Branco3–2UD da Serra1–1Fazendense3–3Sertanense1–1Oliveira Hospital01/11Mortágua08/11O Elvas28/11MortáguaNaval 18932–0Benfica Castelo Branco0–1UD da Serra1–1Fazendense2–1Sertanense3–1Nazarenos3–1FC Alverca II01/11AD Nogueirense08/11Oliveira Hospital28/11Top Scorers
AD NogueirenseMortágua