UD da Serra vs Fátima — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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UD da Serra and Fátima meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 8 November 2026. UD da Serra have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 90% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Fátima have won 50% of their 10 matches, with 2.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.61 for UD da Serra and 1.09 for Fátima. The models give UD da Serra a 53% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Fátima win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
UD da SerraFátimaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| UD da | Home | Away | Fátima | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 80% | 86% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 57% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 25% | 17% | 40% | 57% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 14% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| UD da | Home | Away | Fátima | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 75% | 100% | 80% | 71% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 33% | 30% | 14% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 17% | 20% | 14% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% | 20% | 29% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| UD da | Fátima | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 30% |
| BTTS | 90% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 40% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| UD da | Fátima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 70% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
UD da (H)
Atlético Malveira1–1
Mortágua1–1
Uniao de Pombal5–0
FC Alverca II2–1
Peniche3–1
Marinhense1–0Fátima (A)
Sertanense2–2
Os Marialvas0–3
O Elvas1–1
Eléctrico3–0Os Marialvas0–2Mortágua1–0Head to Head · 2 matches
FátimaUD da Serra| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Os Marialvas | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 2 | O Elvas | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 | Mortágua | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 4 |  Oliveira Hospital | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | UD da Serra | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Benfica Castelo Branco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Atlético Malveira | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Fátima | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 8 |
| 9 |  AD Nogueirense | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Naval 1893 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | FC Alverca II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 |  Nazarenos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Fazendense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 1 |
Team Insights
UD da- ●UD da Serra failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●UD da Serra have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●UD da Serra have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●UD da Serra have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●UD da Serra have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Fátima- ●Fátima failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●80% of Fátima's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Fátima's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
UD daOs Marialvas1–2Atlético Malveira1–1O Elvas2–1Mortágua1–1AD Nogueirense1–1FC Alverca II2–1Fátima08/11Nazarenos28/11Sertanense06/12FátimaFazendense6–1Sertanense2–2Nazarenos1–3Oliveira Hospital0–1Os Marialvas0–3Atlético Malveira5–0UD da Serra08/11Benfica Castelo Branco28/11Naval 189306/12Top Scorers
UD daFátimaCards Given
UD daFátima