UD da Serra vs Fátima — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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UD da Serra and Fátima meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 8 November 2026. UD da Serra have recorded 3 wins from 5 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 2.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 80% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Fátima have won 40% of their 5 matches, with 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for UD da Serra and 1.09 for Fátima. The models give UD da Serra a 52% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Fátima win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
UD da SerraFátimaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| UD da | Home | Away | Fátima | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 67% | 50% | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 33% | 0% | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| UD da | Home | Away | Fátima | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 67% | 100% | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| UD da | Fátima | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS | 80% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 40% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 40% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| UD da | Fátima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 60% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 80% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 60% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 80% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
UD da (H)
Mortágua1–1
Uniao de Pombal5–0
FC Alverca II2–1
Peniche3–1
Marinhense1–0
Benfica Castelo Branco2–0Fátima (A)
Os Marialvas0–3
O Elvas1–1
Eléctrico3–0Os Marialvas0–2Mortágua1–0Peniche1–1Head to Head · 2 matches
FátimaUD da Serra| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mortágua | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 |  Oliveira Hospital | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 3 | Os Marialvas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 | UD da Serra | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 5 | O Elvas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 |  Naval 1893 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 7 |  AD Nogueirense | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 8 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Fátima | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 |  Atlético Malveira | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 |  Sertanense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 12 |  Fazendense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | FC Alverca II | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 |  Nazarenos | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Team Insights
UD da- ●UD da Serra have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
Fátima—
Season Schedule
UD daMortágua1–1AD Nogueirense1–1FC Alverca II2–1Naval 18932–1O Elvas11/10Atlético Malveira25/10Os Marialvas01/11FátimaOliveira Hospital0–1Os Marialvas0–3Atlético Malveira5–0O Elvas1–1Nazarenos11/10Sertanense25/10Fazendense01/11Top Scorers
UD daFátimaCards Given
UD daFátima