Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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Fátima and Benfica Castelo Branco meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Fátima have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Benfica Castelo Branco have won 38% of their 8 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 2.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.76 for Fátima and 1.36 for Benfica Castelo Branco. The models give Fátima a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Benfica Castelo Branco win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
FátimaBenfica Castelo BrancoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Fátima | Home | Away | Benfica Castelo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 86% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 57% | 33% | 38% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 57% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 14% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Fátima | Home | Away | Benfica Castelo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 71% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 14% | 67% | 75% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 14% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 29% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fátima | Benfica Castelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 38% |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 75% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fátima | Benfica Castelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 63% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 70% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 88% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Fátima (H)
Fazendense6–1
Academico Viseu1–0
Nazarenos1–3
Vinhais4–1
Oliveira Hospital0–1Benfica Castelo Branco3–1Benfica Castelo (A)
Atlético Malveira2–2
Mortágua1–0
FC Alverca II1–0Fátima1–3Oliveira Hospital3–2Fátima1–4Head to Head · 7 matches
Benfica Castelo BrancoBenfica Castelo BrancoFátimaBenfica Castelo BrancoFátimaFátimaBenfica Castelo Branco| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Os Marialvas | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 2 |  O Elvas | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 | Mortágua | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 4 | Oliveira Hospital | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 |  UD da Serra | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Atlético Malveira | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Fátima | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 8 |
| 9 |  AD Nogueirense | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Naval 1893 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | FC Alverca II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 12 |  Sertanense | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Nazarenos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 1 |
Team Insights
Fátima- ●Fátima failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●80% of Fátima's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Fátima's points have been earned at home.
Benfica Castelo- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●64% of Benfica Castelo Branco's goals have been scored away.
- ●71% of Benfica Castelo Branco's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●100% of Benfica Castelo Branco's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
FátimaFazendense6–1Sertanense2–2Nazarenos1–3Oliveira Hospital0–1Os Marialvas0–3Atlético Malveira5–0UD da Serra08/11Benfica Castelo Branco28/11Naval 189306/12Benfica CasteloAtlético Malveira2–2O Elvas1–3Mortágua1–0AD Nogueirense2–3FC Alverca II1–0Naval 18931–4Os Marialvas08/11Fátima28/11Nazarenos06/12Top Scorers
FátimaBenfica CasteloCards Given
FátimaBenfica Castelo