Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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Fátima and Benfica Castelo Branco meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Fátima have recorded 3 wins from 6 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Benfica Castelo Branco have won 40% of their 5 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Fátima and 1.31 for Benfica Castelo Branco. The models give Fátima a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Benfica Castelo Branco win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
FátimaBenfica Castelo BrancoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Fátima | Home | Away | Benfica Castelo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 75% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 75% | 0% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 75% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Fátima | Home | Away | Benfica Castelo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 75% | 100% | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 50% | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 50% | 60% | 100% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 25% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fátima | Benfica Castelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 60% |
| BTTS | 50% | 80% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 80% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 33% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fátima | Benfica Castelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 17% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 80% |
| Win 2nd Half | 67% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 80% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Fátima (H)
Vinhais4–1
Oliveira Hospital0–1Benfica Castelo Branco3–1
Atlético Malveira5–0Benfica Castelo Branco4–1
Vitória de Sernache2–2Benfica Castelo (A)
FC Alverca II1–0Fátima1–3Oliveira Hospital3–2Fátima1–4
Peniche2–0Vitória de Sernache0–0Head to Head · 7 matches
Benfica Castelo BrancoBenfica Castelo BrancoFátimaBenfica Castelo BrancoFátimaFátimaBenfica Castelo Branco| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mortágua | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 3 |  Os Marialvas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 |  UD da Serra | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 5 |  O Elvas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 |  Naval 1893 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 7 |  AD Nogueirense | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 8 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Fátima | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 | Atlético Malveira | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 |  Sertanense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 12 |  Fazendense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | FC Alverca II | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 |  Nazarenos | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Team Insights
Fátima—
Benfica Castelo- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●78% of Benfica Castelo Branco's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●100% of Benfica Castelo Branco's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
FátimaOliveira Hospital0–1Os Marialvas0–3Atlético Malveira5–0O Elvas1–1Nazarenos11/10Sertanense25/10Fazendense01/11Benfica CasteloAD Nogueirense2–3FC Alverca II1–0Naval 18931–4Oliveira Hospital3–2Mortágua11/10O Elvas25/10Atlético Malveira01/11Top Scorers
FátimaBenfica CasteloCards Given
FátimaBenfica Castelo