Nazarenos vs UD da Serra — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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Nazarenos and UD da Serra meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Nazarenos have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 0.71 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. UD da Serra have won 56% of their 9 matches, with 2.11 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 89%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.09 for Nazarenos and 1.52 for UD da Serra. The models give Nazarenos a 27% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an UD da Serra win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
NazarenosUD da SerraHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Nazarenos | Home | Away | UD da | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 43% | 25% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 33% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 33% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 57% | 75% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Nazarenos | Home | Away | UD da | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 89% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 50% | 67% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 57% | 50% | 67% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nazarenos | UD da | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS | 43% | 89% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 44% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 44% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 43% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nazarenos | UD da | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 14% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 57% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 86% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 14% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Nazarenos (H)
Oliveira Hospital1–1
Os Marialvas0–3
Vitória de Sernache0–3
O Elvas0–1
Pacos Ferreira0–1
Sourense1–0UD da (A)
Vitoria Setubal1–1O Elvas2–1
Amora4–3
AD Nogueirense1–1
Naval 18932–1
Samora Correir2–4| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliveira Hospital | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  Mortágua | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | O Elvas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Os Marialvas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | UD da Serra | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Benfica Castelo Branco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Atlético Malveira | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Naval 1893 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | AD Nogueirense | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 |  FC Alverca II | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 11 |  Fátima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |  Sertanense | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Nazarenos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 |  Fazendense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 1 |
Team Insights
Nazarenos- ●Nazarenos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
UD da- ●UD da Serra have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●UD da Serra failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●UD da Serra have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●UD da Serra have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●UD da Serra have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
NazarenosOliveira Hospital1–1Fátima3–1Os Marialvas0–3Atlético Malveira0–3O Elvas0–1Mortágua1–3Sertanense01/11Fazendense08/11UD da Serra28/11UD daAtlético Malveira1–1O Elvas2–1Mortágua1–1AD Nogueirense1–1FC Alverca II2–1Naval 18932–1Os Marialvas01/11Fátima08/11Nazarenos28/11Top Scorers
NazarenosUD daCards Given
NazarenosUD da