O Elvas vs AD Nogueirense — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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O Elvas and AD Nogueirense meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 28 November 2026. O Elvas have recorded 5 wins from 8 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 2.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. AD Nogueirense have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for O Elvas and 1.41 for AD Nogueirense. The models give O Elvas a 49% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an AD Nogueirense win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
O ElvasAD NogueirenseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| O Elvas | Home | Away | AD Nogueirense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 80% | 100% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 40% | 67% | 29% | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 20% | 33% | 29% | 0% | 67% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 20% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| O Elvas | Home | Away | AD Nogueirense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 60% | 67% | 86% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 40% | 0% | 57% | 25% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 40% | 33% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| O Elvas | AD Nogueirense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 29% |
| BTTS | 50% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 43% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| O Elvas | AD Nogueirense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 71% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 0% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 57% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 29% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 71% |
Recent Venue Form
O Elvas (H)
UD da Serra1–2
Sertanense2–0
União de Leiria0–2
São Roque (Açores)9–0
Fátima1–1
Moncarapachense0–0AD Nogueirense (A)
FC Alverca II0–3
Benfica Castelo Branco3–2
Fazendense3–3
Sanjoanense0–2
Mortágua0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oliveira Hospital | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 | Mortágua | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | O Elvas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Os Marialvas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | UD da Serra | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Atlético Malveira | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Naval 1893 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | AD Nogueirense | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Alverca II | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 11 | Fátima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 |  Nazarenos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 1 |
Team Insights
O Elvas- ●O Elvas have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●O Elvas have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●69% of O Elvas's points have been earned away.
AD Nogueirense- ●AD Nogueirense have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●AD Nogueirense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●75% of AD Nogueirense's goals have been scored away.
- ●80% of AD Nogueirense's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●AD Nogueirense have scored 88% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
O ElvasBenfica Castelo Branco3–1UD da Serra1–2Sertanense2–0Fazendense2–1Nazarenos1–0Fátima1–1Naval 189301/11FC Alverca II08/11AD Nogueirense28/11AD NogueirenseFC Alverca II0–3Naval 18930–0Benfica Castelo Branco3–2UD da Serra1–1Fazendense3–3Sertanense1–1Oliveira Hospital01/11Mortágua08/11O Elvas28/11Top Scorers
O ElvasAD NogueirenseCards Given
O ElvasAD Nogueirense