AD Nogueirense vs Atlético Malveira — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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AD Nogueirense and Atlético Malveira meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 6 December 2026. AD Nogueirense have recorded 1 wins from 6 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 83% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Atlético Malveira have won 33% of their 6 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for AD Nogueirense and 1.07 for Atlético Malveira. The models give AD Nogueirense a 46% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Atlético Malveira win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
AD NogueirenseAtlético MalveiraHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| AD Nogueirense | Home | Away | Atlético Malveira | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 75% | 100% | 67% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 0% | 100% | 50% | 75% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 25% | 0% | 33% | 25% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| AD Nogueirense | Home | Away | Atlético Malveira | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 75% | 100% | 83% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 25% | 100% | 33% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 25% | 50% | 33% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 25% | 0% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AD Nogueirense | Atlético Malveira | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS | 83% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 50% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AD Nogueirense | Atlético Malveira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 67% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
AD Nogueirense (H)
Naval 18930–0
UD da Serra1–1Naval 18931–3
Sertanense1–1
Gafanha0–1Atlético Malveira (A)Sertanense1–1
Fátima0–5
Oliveira Hospital1–1
Louletano1–1
Vitória de Sernache0–0Louletano2–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | UD da Serra | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 |  Os Marialvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 4 |  Mortágua | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  O Elvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Benfica Castelo Branco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 | AD Nogueirense | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Atlético Malveira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Fátima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 |  FC Alverca II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 |  Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 |  Fazendense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Team Insights
AD Nogueirense- ●AD Nogueirense have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●AD Nogueirense have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●75% of AD Nogueirense's goals have been scored away.
- ●AD Nogueirense have scored 88% of their goals in the first half.
Atlético Malveira- ●Atlético Malveira have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Atlético Malveira have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●75% of Atlético Malveira's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Atlético Malveira's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
AD NogueirenseNaval 18930–0Benfica Castelo Branco3–2UD da Serra1–1Fazendense3–3Sertanense1–1FC Alverca II25/10Oliveira Hospital01/11Mortágua08/11Atlético MalveiraFazendense3–1Sertanense1–1Nazarenos3–0Fátima0–5Os Marialvas0–1UD da Serra25/10Benfica Castelo Branco01/11Naval 189308/11Top Scorers
AD NogueirenseAtlético MalveiraCards Given
AD NogueirenseAtlético Malveira