UD da Serra vs Sertanense — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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UD da Serra and Sertanense meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 6 December 2026. UD da Serra have recorded 5 wins from 7 matches this season (71% win rate), averaging 2.43 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 86% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Sertanense have won 0% of their 6 matches, with 0.50 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 17%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for UD da Serra and 0.93 for Sertanense. The models give UD da Serra a 53% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Sertanense win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
UD da SerraSertanenseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| UD da | Home | Away | Sertanense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 71% | 67% | 75% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 75% |
Goals Conceded
| UD da | Home | Away | Sertanense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 67% | 100% | 83% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 25% | 17% | 50% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 33% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| UD da | Sertanense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 17% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 0% |
| BTTS | 86% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 57% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 17% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| UD da | Sertanense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 57% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 0% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
UD da (H)
Mortágua1–1
Uniao de Pombal5–0
FC Alverca II2–1
Peniche3–1
Marinhense1–0
Benfica Castelo Branco2–0Sertanense (A)
Os Marialvas0–0
O Elvas0–2
Alcains0–1
AD Nogueirense1–1Benfica Castelo Branco0–1Os Marialvas1–2Head to Head · 2 matches
SertanenseUD da Serra| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | UD da Serra | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 | Os Marialvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 4 | Mortágua | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | O Elvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 | AD Nogueirense | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Atlético Malveira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Fátima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Alverca II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 |  Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 |  Fazendense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Team Insights
UD da- ●UD da Serra have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●UD da Serra failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●UD da Serra have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●UD da Serra have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●62% of UD da Serra's goals have been scored away.
- ●64% of UD da Serra's points have been earned away.
Sertanense- ●Sertanense have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
Season Schedule
UD daO Elvas2–1Mortágua1–1AD Nogueirense1–1FC Alverca II2–1Naval 18932–1Atlético Malveira25/10Os Marialvas01/11Fátima08/11SertanenseOs Marialvas0–0O Elvas0–2Atlético Malveira1–1Mortágua1–3AD Nogueirense1–1Fátima25/10Nazarenos01/11Oliveira Hospital08/11Top Scorers
UD daSertanenseCards Given
UD daSertanense