Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Group C - 11

Fazendense

14º · 0.20 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 49d 0h

–

UD da Serra

2º · 2.20 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 49d 0h

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Fazendense and UD da Serra meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Fazendense have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 2.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 78% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 89%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. UD da Serra have won 56% of their 9 matches, with 2.11 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 89%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 11%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Fazendense and 1.58 for UD da Serra. The models give Fazendense a 32% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an UD da Serra win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.

Season Statistics

Fazendense

—

UD da Serra

14º

Position

2º

0.20

PPG

2.20

Win %

60%

1.20

Goals / game

1.60

3.00

Conceded / game

1.00

78%

BTTS %

89%

11%

Clean sheet %

11%

89%

Over 2.5 %

56%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Fazendense

Home (2)

—

UD da Serra

Away (3)

0.50

PPG

2.33

Win %

67%

2.00

Goals / game

1.67

2.50

Conceded / game

1.00

83%

BTTS %

100%

17%

Clean sheet %

83%

Over 2.5 %

60%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Fazendense	Home	Away	UD da	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	89%	100%	67%	100%	100%	100%
Over 1.5 Scored	22%	33%	0%	56%	50%	60%
Over 2.5 Scored	22%	33%	0%	22%	25%	20%
Failed To Score	11%	0%	33%	0%	0%	0%

Goals Conceded

	Fazendense	Home	Away	UD da	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	89%	83%	100%	89%	75%	100%
Over 1.5 Conceded	78%	67%	100%	11%	0%	20%
Over 2.5 Conceded	33%	17%	67%	11%	0%	20%
Clean Sheets	11%	17%	0%	11%	25%	0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Fazendense	UD da
Over 0.5	100%	100%
Over 1.5	89%	100%
Over 2.5	89%	56%
Over 3.5	44%	22%
Over 4.5	33%	22%
BTTS	78%	89%
BTTS & Win	11%	44%
BTTS & Draw	11%	44%
BTTS & Over 2.5	78%	44%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	11%	11%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Fazendense	UD da
Win 1st Half	22%	44%
Draw 1st Half	22%	22%
Loss 1st Half	56%	33%
Scored 1st Half	22%	67%
Conceded 1st Half	67%	56%
Win 2nd Half	44%	44%
Draw 2nd Half	22%	44%
Loss 2nd Half	33%	11%
Scored 2nd Half	78%	67%
Conceded 2nd Half	56%	44%
Over 0.5 HT	78%	89%
Over 1.5 HT	44%	33%

Recent Venue Form

Fazendense (H)

Os Marialvas1–2

Estrela1–2

Ginásio Figueirense6–1

O Elvas1–2

Mocarriense1–0

AD Nogueirense3–3

UD da (A)

Vitoria Setubal1–1

O Elvas2–1

Amora4–3

AD Nogueirense1–1

Naval 18932–1

Samora Correir2–4

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Oliveira Hospital	5	4	0	1	+4	12
2	UD da Serra	5	3	2	0	+3	11
3	Os Marialvas	5	3	1	1	+6	10
4	Mortágua	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	O Elvas	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Benfica Castelo Branco	5	3	0	2	-1	9
7	Naval 1893	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	AD Nogueirense	5	1	4	0	+1	7
9	Atlético Malveira	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Fátima	5	1	1	3	-1	4
11	FC Alverca II	5	1	0	4	0	3
12	Sertanense	5	0	3	2	-4	3
13	Nazarenos	5	1	0	4	-7	3
14	Fazendense	5	0	1	4	-9	1

Team Insights

Fazendense

●Fazendense have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
●Fazendense have lost their last 5 matches.
●Fazendense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
●Fazendense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
●Fazendense have lost their last 3 away matches.
●Fazendense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.

UD da