Atlético Malveira vs Mortágua — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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Atlético Malveira and Mortágua meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Atlético Malveira have recorded 2 wins from 7 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Mortágua have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for Atlético Malveira and 1.30 for Mortágua. The models give Atlético Malveira a 37% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Mortágua win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Atlético MalveiraMortáguaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Atlético Malveira | Home | Away | Mortágua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 75% | 67% | 63% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 75% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 50% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 25% | 33% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Atlético Malveira | Home | Away | Mortágua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 75% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 25% | 33% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 25% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atlético Malveira | Mortágua | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 0% |
| BTTS | 57% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atlético Malveira | Mortágua | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 57% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Atlético Malveira (H)
Fazendense3–1
Nazarenos3–0
Mafra2–3
Os Marialvas0–1
Vitória de Sernache0–3
Oliveira Hospital0–2Mortágua (A)
Naval 18932–0
UD da Serra1–1
SC Covilha0–0
Sertanense3–1Vitória de Sernache0–1Naval 18930–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliveira Hospital | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 | Mortágua | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  O Elvas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Os Marialvas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | UD da Serra | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Benfica Castelo Branco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Atlético Malveira | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Naval 1893 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |  AD Nogueirense | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 |  FC Alverca II | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 11 |  Fátima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Nazarenos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 1 |
Team Insights
Atlético Malveira- ●Atlético Malveira have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Atlético Malveira have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●75% of Atlético Malveira's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Atlético Malveira's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Atlético Malveira's points have been earned at home.
- ●Atlético Malveira have scored 75% of their goals in the first half.
Mortágua- ●Mortágua have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
Atlético MalveiraUD da Serra1–1Fazendense3–1Sertanense1–1Nazarenos3–0Fátima0–5Os Marialvas0–1Benfica Castelo Branco01/11Naval 189308/11FC Alverca II28/11MortáguaNaval 18932–0Benfica Castelo Branco0–1UD da Serra1–1Fazendense2–1Sertanense3–1Nazarenos3–1FC Alverca II01/11AD Nogueirense08/11Oliveira Hospital28/11Top Scorers
Atlético MalveiraMortáguaCards Given
Atlético MalveiraMortágua