Os Marialvas vs AD Nogueirense — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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Os Marialvas and AD Nogueirense meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Os Marialvas have recorded 6 wins from 10 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 30% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 70% of games. AD Nogueirense have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Os Marialvas and 1.40 for AD Nogueirense. The models give Os Marialvas a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an AD Nogueirense win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Os MarialvasAD NogueirenseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Os Marialvas | Home | Away | AD Nogueirense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 67% | 86% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 33% | 43% | 29% | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 33% | 29% | 29% | 0% | 67% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 33% | 14% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Os Marialvas | Home | Away | AD Nogueirense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 30% | 33% | 29% | 86% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 33% | 14% | 57% | 25% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 70% | 67% | 71% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Os Marialvas | AD Nogueirense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 29% |
| BTTS | 30% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 43% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 30% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Os Marialvas | AD Nogueirense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 57% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 29% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 10% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 71% |
Recent Venue Form
Os Marialvas (H)
Sertanense0–0
Fátima3–0
Oliveira Hospital1–2
Naval 18930–0
UD da Serra1–1Fátima2–0AD Nogueirense (A)
FC Alverca II0–3
Benfica Castelo Branco3–2
Fazendense3–3
Sanjoanense0–2
Mortágua0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | UD da Serra | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 | Os Marialvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 4 | Mortágua | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  O Elvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 | AD Nogueirense | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Atlético Malveira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Fátima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Alverca II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 |  Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Team Insights
Os Marialvas- ●Os Marialvas have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Os Marialvas have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Os Marialvas have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●69% of Os Marialvas's points have been earned away.
AD Nogueirense- ●AD Nogueirense have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●AD Nogueirense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●75% of AD Nogueirense's goals have been scored away.
- ●80% of AD Nogueirense's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●AD Nogueirense have scored 88% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Os MarialvasFazendense2–1Sertanense0–0Nazarenos3–0Fátima3–0Oliveira Hospital1–2Atlético Malveira1–0UD da Serra01/11Benfica Castelo Branco08/11Naval 189328/11AD NogueirenseFC Alverca II0–3Naval 18930–0Benfica Castelo Branco3–2UD da Serra1–1Fazendense3–3Sertanense1–1Oliveira Hospital01/11Mortágua08/11O Elvas28/11Top Scorers
Os MarialvasAD NogueirenseCards Given
Os MarialvasAD Nogueirense